FNUS72 KMLB 091040
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR IRONHORSE COMMAND...FLORIDA DIV. OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
539 AM EST WED MAR 9 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0517 EST ON MARCH 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING DOWN THE EASTERN
UNITED STATES WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TODAY AND ALLOW EAST WINDS TO
VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST. WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON BECOMING BREEZY AROUND 14 TO 18 MPH WITH
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 20 TO 25 MPH. THIS ELEVATED ONSHORE FLOW WILL
LEAD TO HIGH DISPERSION VALUES AND KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS ACROSS THE BURN SITE.

A BAND OF SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA LATE TONIGHT.
GREATEST CHANCE FOR RAINFALL ACROSS THE BURN SITE WITH THIS LINE
WILL BE JUST AFTER SUNRISE AND INTO THE MORNING HOURS THURSDAY.
SOUTH WINDS WILL BECOME WEST TO NORTHWEST AS THIS SHOWER BAND AND
COLD FRONT PUSH THROUGH THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST 14 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....62.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............64  64  67  70  73  75  76  78  79  78  77  75
RH..............81  80  73  67  62  59  58  54  52  55  58  62
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   10  14  17  18  18  17  17  17  16  14
20 FT WIND GUST.            20  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TOWARD DAYBREAK.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....11.
LVORI...............4.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 24 TO
                    25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....76.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...JOHN KERN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110309.IRONH.01/MLB