FNUS72 KMFL 101301
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR FIRE_LAB_4 BURN...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
801 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT OVER THE BIG BEND AREA WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH
TODAY TOWARDS SOUTH FLORIDA. THIS IN TURN WILL PUSH A PRE-FRONTAL
LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TOWARDS THE BURN AREA THIS
MORNING...AND SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE BURN AREA BETWEEN 11 AM AND
NOON TODAY. HOWEVER...THERE COULD STILL BE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS
THAT DO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS LINE DUE TO THE MOISTURE IN THE
ATMOSPHERE.

AT THIS TIME WE EXPECT MAINLY GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND HAIL UP
TO NICKEL SIZE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS THAT DO MOVE THROUGH THE
BURN SIZE TODAY...DUE TO THE VERY COLD AIR ALOFT OVER THE AREA.

THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ALSO REMAIN WELL ABOVE THE CRITICAL
VALUE OF 35 PERCENT TODAY ALONG WITH DISPERSION IN THE 50 TO 60
RANGE WHICH IS GENERALLY GOOD.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 1000 AM EST 03/10/11

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FORECAST FOR THURSDAY
TIME(EST)             9AM         NOON         3PM          6PM
___________________________________________________________________
SKY.................. PTCLDY      PTCLDY       PTCLDY       PTCLDY
WX................... SHRA        TSRA         TSRA         TSRA
CHANCE OF PRECIP (%). 40          40           40           40
TEMP (F)............. 73          82           81           71
DEW PT (F)........... 63          63           61           59
RH (%)............... 71          53           50           66
20 FT WIND (MPH)..... S-6         S-8          SW-9         W-8
MIXING HGT (FT, AGL). 1800        2900         4000         3500
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH). S-10        S-13         SW-16        SW-14
LAL.................. 1           2            2            2
LDSI................. 24          44           60           50
LVORI................ 3           1            1            1

___________________________________________________________________

OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY NIGHT
TIME(EST)             9PM         12AM         3AM          6AM

___________________________________________________________________

SKY.................. PTCLDY      PTCLDY       MOCLR        MOCLR
WX................... SHRA        SHRA         NO WX        NO WX
CHANCE OF PRECIP (%). 20          20           20           20
TEMP (F)............. 63          57           54           53
DEW PT (F)........... 56          53           48           43
RH (%)............... 78          87           79           70
20 FT WIND (MPH)..... NW-8        NW-9G14      NW-11G18     NW-11G18
LAL.................. 1           1            1            1
LDSI................. 17          14           15           15
LVORI................ 3           4            4            3
___________________________________________________________________

OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON
TIME(EST)             9AM         NOON         3PM          6PM
___________________________________________________________________

SKY/WX............... MOCLR       MOCLR        CLR          CLR
TEMP (F)............. 62          70           69           62
DEW PT (F)........... 40          39           38           39
RH (%)............... 44          32           32           44
20 FT WIND (MPH)..... NW-10G18    NW-9G16      NW-9         NW-6G11
MIXING HGT (FT, AGL). 1700        2400         3000         2700
TRANSPORT WIND (MPH). NW-17       NW-14        NW-13        NW-12
LAL.................. 1           1            1            1
LDSI................. 33          40           42           37
LVORI................ 1           1            1            1

NO WX  = NO WEATHER          MOCLR  = MOSTLY CLEAR
SHRA   = SHOWERS             PTCLDY = PARTLY CLOUDY
TSRA   = THUNDERSTORMS       MOCLDY = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CLR    = CLEAR               CLDY   = CLOUDY

$$

BAXTER