FNUS73 KAPX 111608
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG CHASE PILE BURN...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1108 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AND BRISK WINDS OUT OF THE NW
WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY AND NIGHT...AS HIGH PRESSURE
SLIDES INTO NORTHERN MICHIGAN. THE WEST EXPOSURE MAY VERY ALLOW FOR
HIGHER GUSTS THAN OTHER AREAS. CLOUDS ARE LIKELY TO HOLD ALL DAY. A
FEW BREAKS ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE AFTERNOON. NO PRECIPITATION CHANCE
UNTIL LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. WINDS WILL GO LIGHT TONIGHT BEFORE
SWITCHING AROUND TO OUT OF THE WEST SATURDAY. THE WIND DIRECTION
FOR SATURDAY WILL BE DIFFICULT...AS LOW PRESSURE PASSING THROUGH
MAY RESULT IN MORE OF A VARIABLE DIRECTION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........32 AT IGNITION...MAX 36.
RH..................66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14
                    MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 25 TO 30 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 20 MPH BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH...DECREASING LATER
                    THIS AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 93  93
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............31  32  34  34  36  35  35  34
RH..............63  66  64  64  61  61  61  64
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..15  14  13  12  11  10  10  8
20 FT WIND GUST.30  30  28  26  25  20  20  20

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW LIKELY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 36.
RH..................MIN 69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 12
                    MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........85     90     90     90     90     90
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW
TEMP............26     27     31     33     35     35
RH..............96     99     85     76     69     69
20 FT WIND......S 5    SW 6   SW 7   W 9    W 13   W 11
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     20     25     25

$$
FORECASTER...SCOTT DICKSON
REQUESTED BY...JOHN ELLIOTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110311.BIGCH.01/APX