FNUS75 KBOU 111252 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BUTTON ROCK PILES...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 551 AM MST FRI MAR 11 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH LOW HUMIDITY WILL KEEP DANGEROUS RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 50 MPH THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY...WITH A FEW STRONGER GUSTS NEAR 60 MPH POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. IN ADDITION...THERE WAS VERY POOR HUMIDITY RECOVER OVERNIGHT...AND PRESENT HUMIDITIES ARE ONLY NEAR 20 PERCENT. HUMIDITIES WILL ONLY BE NEAR 15 PERCENT THROUGH THE DAY. IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 5 AND 7 PM AS A COLD FRONT BACKS INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL OFFER COOLER TEMPERATURES AND BETTER HUMIDITY RECOVERY...ALONG WITH A SIGNIFICANT DECREASE IN WIND SPEEDS. LIGHTER WINDS WILL PREVAIL SATURDAY ALONG WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY READINGS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1300...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-61. MIN HUMIDITY........13-14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 25-37 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN 19-25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 49-60 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 36-56 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 0700...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....26. MAX HUMIDITY........59%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-16 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN WEST 4-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL UNTIL 0200...THEN 1200-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR UNTIL 2300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1700...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1100. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 1700. MAX TEMPERATURE.....52. MIN HUMIDITY........29%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTH 6-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2400-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 6400-7400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1800. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BUTTON ROCK PILES. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/11-05 40 2 45 21 W 26 50 5 1 W36 1267 W 48 52851 F 03/11-06 40 2 48 21 W 28 1 2378 W 51 107821 V 03/11-07 40 2 51 18 W 30 1 3488 W 52 162792 E 03/11-08 40 2 54 16 W 31 52 5 1 W44 4599 W 54 217762 E 03/11-09 51 2 56 15 W 32 1 5119 W 55 246183 E 03/11-10 51 2 58 14 W 32 1 5639 W 56 274605 E 03/11-11 51 2 58 14 W 31 49 3 1 W48 6159 W 56 303026 E 03/11-12 51 2 59 14 W 30 1 6477 W 54 299865 E 03/11-13 42 2 59 14 W 28 1 6794 W 51 296705 E 03/11-14 42 2 58 14 W 25 40 3 1 W68 7112 W 47 293544 E 03/11-15 42 2 56 16 W 23 1 6217 W 44 242279 E 03/11-16 42 2 53 19 W 22 1 5322 W 40 191013 E 03/11-17 18 3 50 23 W 20 31 3 1 W58 4427 W 37 139748 V 03/11-18 18 3 48 27 SW 16 1 3790 W 28 100446 V 03/11-19 18 3 44 31 SW 13 1 3153 SW 18 61144 G 03/11-20 18 3 40 38 SE 10 16 2 1 W62 2516 SW 10 21843 P 03/11-21 18 3 37 45 SE 9 1 2752 SW 13 30462 P 03/11-22 18 3 37 45 SE 9 1 2987 SW 15 39081 P 03/11-23 42 3 38 43 SE 9 15 2 1 W58 3222 SW 17 47700 F 03/12-00 42 3 39 42 SE 9 1 2798 SW 16 40050 F 03/12-01 42 3 37 46 S 9 1 2374 SW 15 32399 P 03/12-02 42 3 35 50 SW 9 15 2 1 W55 1949 SW 15 24748 P 03/12-03 42 3 36 48 SW 9 1 1689 SW 16 22421 P 03/12-04 42 3 36 48 W 9 1 1429 W 16 20093 P 03/12-05 44 0 34 51 NW 8 13 3 1 W55 1169 W 17 17765 P 03/12-06 44 0 33 53 W 7 1 914 W 16 13420 P 03/12-07 44 0 31 59 W 6 1 660 W 15 9075 P 03/12-08 44 0 35 50 SW 5 5 3 1 W51 406 W 14 4729 P 03/12-09 44 0 40 42 SW 6 1 2014 W 22 61243 G 03/12-10 44 0 44 36 SW 7 1 3623 W 30 117758 V 03/12-11 50 26 48 32 SW 8 13 2 1 W28 5232 W 38 174272 E 03/12-12 50 26 51 29 W 9 1 5617 W 36 172628 E 03/12-13 50 26 52 29 NW 12 1 6002 W 33 170984 E 03/12-14 50 26 52 30 NW 12 18 2 1 W37 6387 W 31 169340 E 03/12-15 50 26 52 30 N 10 1 6773 W 30 172409 E 03/12-16 50 26 52 31 N 8 1 7159 W 29 175478 E 03/12-17 70 29 49 35 NE 6 6 2 1 W47 7545 W 28 178547 E 03/12-18 70 29 47 39 N 5 1 6130 W 25 139431 V 03/12-19 70 29 44 45 N 5 1 4716 W 23 100314 V 03/12-20 70 29 40 53 NW 6 6 3 1 W37 3302 W 22 61198 G 03/12-21 70 29 38 60 W 7 1 2643 W 20 46857 F 03/12-22 70 29 36 65 W 7 1 1984 W 17 32515 P 03/12-23 70 20 35 68 W 8 13 3 1 W36 1325 W 16 18174 P 03/13-00 70 20 33 70 W 8 1 1077 W 15 14506 P 03/13-01 70 20 32 70 W 8 1 829 W 15 10838 P 03/13-02 70 20 32 69 W 9 14 3 1 W45 581 W 14 7170 P 03/13-03 70 20 31 67 W 9 1 532 W 15 6739 P 03/13-04 70 20 31 63 W 9 1 483 W 15 6308 P 03/13-05 53 10 32 60 W 9 15 3 1 W39 434 W 16 5877 P 03/13-06 53 10 32 58 W 9 1 1102 W 20 23379 P 03/13-07 53 10 34 53 W 9 1 1770 W 23 40880 F 03/13-08 53 10 37 46 W 9 15 2 1 W47 2438 W 28 58382 F 03/13-09 53 10 41 40 W 9 1 3708 W 28 89471 G 03/13-10 53 10 45 35 W 8 1 4978 W 28 120561 V 03/13-11 53 10 48 31 W 8 13 2 1 NW52 6248 W 28 151650 E 03/13-12 53 10 50 29 W 8 1 6558 W 25 143494 V 03/13-13 53 10 52 28 W 8 1 6868 NW 23 135338 V 03/13-14 53 10 52 28 W 8 13 2 1 NW38 7178 NW 21 127182 V 03/13-15 53 10 52 29 W 8 1 6044 NW 17 95468 G 03/13-16 53 10 50 31 W 7 1 4911 NW 14 63754 G 03/13-17 35 0 47 35 W 7 7 3 1 NW33 3777 W 9 32041 P 03/13-18 35 0 45 39 W 7 1 2609 W 8 21778 P 03/13-19 35 0 41 45 W 7 1 1441 W 7 11515 P 03/13-20 35 0 38 51 W 7 7 4 1 W23 273 W 6 1252 P 03/13-21 35 0 35 57 W 7 1 249 SW 6 1183 P 03/13-22 35 0 33 60 W 7 1 225 SW 6 1113 P 03/13-23 12 0 32 62 W 7 7 4 1 W23 202 SW 6 1044 P 03/14-00 12 0 30 62 W 7 1 190 SW 7 1063 P 03/14-01 12 0 29 60 W 7 1 179 SW 7 1083 P 03/14-02 12 0 28 58 W 8 8 3 1 W29 167 W 8 1102 P 03/14-03 12 0 28 56 W 8 1 153 W 8 1054 P 03/14-04 12 0 28 52 W 8 1 140 W 8 1005 P 03/14-05 41 7 28 50 W 8 13 2 1 W35 126 W 9 957 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JOHN WEAVER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110311.BUTTO.01/BOU