FNUS75 KGJT 110229
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOREFIELD PILE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
729 PM MST THU MAR 10 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MST ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PASS WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE
BURN SITE TODAY WITH LITTLE IMPACT EXPECTED OUTSIDE ON A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN WINDS OVER THE REGION. THIS WAVE EXITS TONIGHT WITH
DRY WEATHER PERSISTING THROUGH SATURDAY AS A FLAT RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE HOLDS STRONG NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1030...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST AND INCREASING TO 4-8 MPH
                    BY 1300. A FEW GUSTS TO NEAR 20 MPH EXPECTED
                    BETWEEN 1300 AND 1800.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 15000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1030...
                    THEN BECOMING VERY GOOD BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO
                    6700 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH BY 2000.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT) BY 2000.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DROPPING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 11 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1030...THEN
                    WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AND INCREASING TO 5-10 MPH
                    BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 10000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 1030...THEN
                    BECOMING VERY GOOD BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN INCREASING TO
                    7400 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...JOANIE LAWRENCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110311.MOREF.01/GJT