FNUS74 KLZK 111238
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOG JAW 3...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
638 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST OF ARKANSAS LATER TODAY...ALLOWING
SOUTH WINDS TO INCREASE STATEWIDE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE
THROUGH SATURDAY. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL DROP SLOWLY
SOUTHWARD INTO NORTH ARKANSAS SATURDAY NIGHT BEFORE STALLING OUT.
SEVERAL WEAK IMPULSES WILL TRACK EASTWARD ALONG THE FRONT SUNDAY
AND MONDAY...RESULTING IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS STATEWIDE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
RH..................30 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 21 MPH
                       IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4400 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............59  62  65  66  66  65
RH..............30  27  25  24  25  27
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   5   5   5   4
EYE LVL WND GST.8   8   8   8   8   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.15  16  17  18  20  21

$$
FORECASTER...44
REQUESTED BY...BEN ROWLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110311.HOGJA.01/LZK