FNUS72 KMHX 111517
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR STUMPY POINT PREP BURN...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1017 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON MARCH 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY AND SATURDAY BRINGING
WEST WINDS GUSTS AROUND 20 TO 25 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MAINLY
SUNNY SKIES THIS MORNING WILL BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON AS
AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

A WEAK AND DRY COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 TO
                    25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500-6100 FT AGL
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 22 MPH.

TIME (EST)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............6      27     52     57
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................49     53     54     53
RH..................61     46     45     46
20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 13   W 14   W 14   W 14
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     22     23     21

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 23 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............36     28     17     4      0      1
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................47     44     42     40     42     40
RH..................58     65     70     73     65     70
20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 14   W 13   W 12   W 13   W 13   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     18     15     18     18     15
HAINES INDEX........4      4      4      4      3      4

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...DONNIE HARRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110311.STUMP.01/MHX