FNUS73 KPAH 111429 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BLACK FIELD...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 829 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON MARCH 11. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS THE HEARTLAND REGION TODAY...SHIFTING THE WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST AND BRINGING WARMER AIR INTO THE REGION UNDER CONSIDERABLE SUNSHINE. THE COMBINATION OF THE SUNSHINE AND INCREASINGLY SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW WILL AID IN THE EVAPORATION OF FINE FUELS TODAY. MINIMUM DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 25 PERCENT OVER THE MARK TWAIN NATIONAL FORECAST AREAS...25 TO 30 PERCENT OVER THE SHAWNEE FOREST AREAS...AND BETWEEN 25 AND 35 PERCENT IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND THE PENNYRILE REGION OF WEST KENTUCKY. TWENTY FOOT AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE WITH FAIR TO GOOD VENTILATION. AFTER TODAY...A SWIFT MOVING...BUT DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY SOUTHWARD FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL OUT ACROSS THE HEARTLAND DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. FAST MOVING DISTURBANCES MOVING WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES WILL PULL MOISTURE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE STALLED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY...BRINGING A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN INTO THE FOOTHILLS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AS EARLY AS SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS RETURN OF RAIN TO THE AREA IS FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REMAINDER OF THE HEARTLAND DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY AND PERSIST OFF AND ON THROUGH MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 60. RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............50 55 57 59 59 59 57 RH..............44 37 31 28 28 28 35 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 9 10 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 15 $$ FORECASTER...PACKETT REQUESTED BY...STEVE PAES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110311.LITTL.01/PAH