FNUS72 KMHX 121347
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OCEAN TRACT...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
847 AM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 EST ON MARCH 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRES WILL CONTINUE TO RIDGE INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST
TODAY THEN WILL PUSH SOUTH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE PASSES WELL TO THE NORTH. LIGHT WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING THEN BECOME PREDOMINANTLY SOUTHWEST AND
GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
                    TO 20 MPH AROUND MID AFTERNOON...THEN TO AROUND
                    25 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH LATE.

TIME (EST)          8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............0      1      2      2      1
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................42     51     57     61     59
RH..................70     48     40     38     44
20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 5    W 6    SW 9   SW 13  SW 15
20 FT WIND GUST.....       10     15     18     24
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      5      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............0      1      2      4      7      11
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................58     55     52     51     50     49
RH..................49     61     71     77     80     83
20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 14  SW 13  SW 12  SW 12  SW 10  W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.....20     20     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX........4      4      5      5      5      5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............12     14     20     26     29     39
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................48     52     60     64     66     64
RH..................86     75     56     50     48     54
20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 9    W 9    W 8    W 7    W 7    SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     10     10
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110312.OCEAN.01/MHX