FNUS72 KMHX 121354
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEABORN ROAD...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
854 AM EST SAT MAR 12 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0820 EST ON MARCH 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRES WILL CONTINUE TO RIDGE INTO THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST
TODAY THEN WILL PUSH SOUTH TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE PASSES WELL TO THE NORTH. LIGHT WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING THEN BECOME PREDOMINANTLY SOUTHWEST AND
GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND
                    15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...THEN TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 17
                    MPH LATE.

TIME (EST)          8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............0      2      3      3      1
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................42     51     58     63     61
RH..................65     46     37     32     38
20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 3    W 6    SW 9   SW 12  SW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.....5             13     16     20
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      5      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............0      1      2      5      7      11
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................59     55     51     50     48     47
RH..................44     57     68     74     80     83
20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 12  SW 10  SW 10  SW 9   SW 9   W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....18     15     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX........4      4      5      5      5      5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............12     15     21     27     30     40
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................46     51     61     66     69     66
RH..................86     74     53     44     40     46
20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 7    W 7    W 7    W 7    W 6    SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110312.SEABO.01/MHX