FNUS73 KEAX 131317 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 6...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 817 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... NORTHEAST WINDS WILL KEEP THE SMOKE PLUME AWAY FROM INTERSTATE 29... BUT WILL FEED COLD TEMPERATURES AND LOW OVERCAST INTO THE REGION. STRATUS WILL AVERAGE ONLY ABOUT 800 TO 1100 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL... LIMITING THE MIXING DEPTH AT MOST TO THAT ALTITUDE. HAVE ALSO COOLED BACK TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY UNDER THE OVERCAST...WHICH WILL IN TURN INCREASE RELATIVE HUMIDITY. LIGHT PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF RAIN...EVENTUALLY MIXING WITH SOME LIGHT SNOW...IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE AREA UNTIL EARLY EVENING. THERE IS SOME QUESTION WHETHER THE BURN AREA WILL RECEIVE ANY SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE OR WHETHER IT WILL DEVELOP JUST TO THE SOUTH AS AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DIVES SOUTHEAST THROUGH KANSAS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 18 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............34 37 39 39 RH..............74 70 65 68 20 FT WIND......NE 8 NE 8 NE 8 NE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SNOW THROUGH THE NIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30. MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.40 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 88 72 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN SNOW SNOW SNOW TEMP............38 37 35 33 33 32 RH..............70 74 80 88 85 85 20 FT WIND......NE 7 NE 6 NE 5 NE 5 NE 3 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-4200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........62 50 34 21 19 15 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............31 35 40 47 51 50 RH..............85 76 64 50 45 46 20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 6 E 6 SE 7 SE 7 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST. HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...BOOKBINDER REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110313.UNIT6.02/EAX