FNUS72 KMHX 131156 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR QUAL STRIP...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 756 AM EDT SUN MAR 13 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NORTH LATE TODAY AND MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL STALL JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. ALL WIND GUIDANCE IS FORECASTING DIMINISHING WINDS TODAY WITH SW WINDS 10 GUSTING TO 15 MPH UNTIL 10 AM THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1 PM WHEN THE WINDS WILL TRY TO BECOME NW 5 TO 10 MPH. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL DRIFT SOUTH INTO THE BURN SITE AFTER 11 PM THIS EVENING WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NE 5 TO 10 MPH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST THEN NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............36 35 36 40 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................61 67 71 68 RH..................51 42 36 41 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 6 W 6 W 6 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....11 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............41 44 47 50 53 60 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................65 60 56 54 51 50 RH..................48 65 76 81 83 84 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 6 SW 5 S 3 SE 3 N 2 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 9 .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2000-2500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH...BECOMING EAST 10 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............70 77 79 81 83 86 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN TEMP................48 47 50 54 56 56 RH..................85 90 75 65 61 58 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 6 NE 9 NE 9 NE 10 NE 10 NE 10 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 15 15 15 $$ FORECASTER...ELARDO REQUESTED BY...DAVID NELSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110313.QUALS.01/MHX