FNUS74 KTSA 131330 FWSTSA FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR RED LICK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 830 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 13. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT CURRENTLY STRETCHES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA JUST TO THE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTHWARD TODAY...IMPACTING THE BURN SITE DURING THE MID AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST NORTHEAST FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH SPEEDS REMAINING AT LESS THAN 10 MPH. SHOWER CHANCES WILL INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION OCCURRING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 63. RH..................85 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 200-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TEMP............58 60 61 62 63 63 63 DEWPT...........54 52 50 50 50 49 49 RH..............85 71 68 65 63 61 60 20FT WIND DIR...SE SE SE SE E E E 20FT SPD (MPH)..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 20FT GUST(MPH)..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CLOUDS (%)......89 89 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW MIXHGT/100(FT)..017 031 042 046 046 045 046 TR WIND DIR.....SE SE S S SE SE SE TR WIND SPD(MPH)8 10 13 13 13 13 13 STABILITY.......C B B B B C C 1700FT MIX T (F)58 60 61 62 63 63 63 VENT/1000(M 3/S)002 004 007 008 008 008 008 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47. RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-1900 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55. RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM TEMP............47 47 47 48 49 51 52 53 54 54 55 55 DEWPT...........43 42 41 41 40 40 40 39 39 38 38 37 RH..............86 83 82 78 72 67 62 59 56 54 52 50 20FT WIND DIR...NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20FT SPD (MPH)..6 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 11 11 20FT GUST(MPH)..10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 CLOUDS (%)......99 85 85 85 85 85 85 58 58 58 58 58 WEATHER COV.....LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW MIXHGT/100(FT)..004 005 004 004 008 020 034 046 050 050 049 048 TR WIND DIR.....NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N TR WIND SPD(MPH)9 10 14 18 22 23 24 25 25 25 25 25 STABILITY.......F F D D D C C C C C C D 1700FT MIX T (F)50 48 46 45 44 51 52 53 54 54 55 55 VENT/1000(M 3/S)000 001 001 001 002 006 011 016 017 017 017 016 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...HATFIELD REQUESTED BY...SAM MCFARLAND TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110313.REDLI.01/TSA