FNUS75 KBOU 151004 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK RX...OTHER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 404 AM MDT TUE MAR 15 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SHOULD SEE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THIS MORNING WITH SOME INCREASE IN HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER BY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER TODAY WITH MIN HUMIDITIES AROUND 20%. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT WEST THIS MORNING SHIFTING TO THE EAST BY 0900. DISPERSAL WILL BE POOR THROUGH 1200 AND THEN FAIR FROM 1200 TO 1400...AFTER 1400 MAY SEE GOOD DISPERSAL UNTIL 1700. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....63. MIN HUMIDITY........19%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-9 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN EAST 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 6000-7000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....35. MAX HUMIDITY........60%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....74. MIN HUMIDITY........9%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12-20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 7000-8000 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 11000-12000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 8400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BEAR CREEK RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/15-03 39 5 35 60 W 12 17 3 1 NW23 200 W 15 2552 P 03/15-04 39 5 34 61 W 12 1 271 W 12 2486 P 03/15-05 39 5 36 55 W 10 1 343 W 9 2420 P 03/15-06 30 0 36 55 W 9 14 2 1 NW22 414 W 7 2354 P 03/15-07 30 0 36 55 W 6 1 1392 W 7 8402 P 03/15-08 30 0 37 52 N 3 1 2370 W 7 14450 P 03/15-09 30 0 42 43 CALM 1 2 1 W26 3347 W 7 20498 P 03/15-10 30 0 48 35 NE 3 1 4356 W 9 36756 P 03/15-11 30 0 53 28 E 6 1 5366 W 10 53014 F 03/15-12 35 0 57 25 SE 8 8 2 1 W26 6375 SW 13 69272 G 03/15-13 35 0 61 21 SE 7 1 7544 W 14 88829 G 03/15-14 35 0 62 20 E 6 1 8713 W 14 108387 V 03/15-15 35 0 63 19 E 3 3 2 1 W29 9883 W 15 127945 V 03/15-16 35 0 63 19 NE 2 1 8308 W 15 106096 V 03/15-17 35 0 62 19 N 2 1 6734 W 14 84248 G 03/15-18 57 0 56 24 NW 3 3 2 1 W26 5159 W 14 62399 G 03/15-19 57 0 54 27 NW 5 1 3614 W 14 43751 F 03/15-20 57 0 50 31 W 7 1 2069 W 14 25103 P 03/15-21 57 0 46 37 W 8 8 2 1 W22 525 W 14 6455 P 03/15-22 57 0 43 42 W 9 1 430 W 15 5443 P 03/15-23 57 0 41 46 W 10 1 335 W 16 4432 P 03/16-00 57 0 40 50 W 12 17 2 1 W22 240 W 16 3420 P 03/16-01 57 0 38 54 W 13 1 214 W 16 3002 P 03/16-02 57 0 37 56 W 13 1 187 W 16 2583 P 03/16-03 57 0 37 58 W 13 20 2 1 W22 161 W 15 2164 P 03/16-04 57 0 36 60 W 13 1 160 W 15 2140 P 03/16-05 57 0 36 58 W 12 1 158 W 15 2115 P 03/16-06 38 0 37 57 W 12 17 2 1 SW 9 156 W 15 2091 P 03/16-07 38 0 37 54 W 12 1 314 W 18 5943 P 03/16-08 38 0 41 44 W 13 1 472 W 22 9796 P 03/16-09 38 0 47 34 W 13 20 4 1 W10 630 W 25 13648 P 03/16-10 38 0 53 26 W 13 1 2541 W 24 48130 F 03/16-11 38 0 59 21 W 13 1 4452 W 22 82612 G 03/16-12 38 0 64 17 W 13 21 2 1 W 8 6363 W 21 117094 V 03/16-13 38 0 68 13 W 15 1 8503 W 21 156007 E 03/16-14 38 0 70 10 W 17 1 10643 W 21 194920 E 03/16-15 38 0 72 9 W 18 30 2 1 W 8 12783 W 21 233832 E 03/16-16 38 0 71 9 W 18 1 10549 W 25 214442 E 03/16-17 38 0 69 10 W 16 1 8314 W 29 195053 E 03/16-18 43 0 65 13 W 15 24 3 1 W 6 6080 W 33 175663 E 03/16-19 43 0 62 15 W 14 1 4439 W 30 124861 V 03/16-20 43 0 57 18 W 13 1 2797 W 26 74059 G 03/16-21 43 0 51 23 W 12 18 3 1 W21 1156 W 23 23257 P 03/16-22 43 0 47 28 W 13 1 832 W 22 16494 P 03/16-23 43 0 45 32 W 14 1 507 W 21 9731 P 03/17-00 43 0 43 36 W 15 24 2 1 W31 182 W 18 2969 P 03/17-01 43 0 40 41 W 16 1 168 W 20 2808 P 03/17-02 43 0 39 45 W 17 1 154 W 20 2648 P 03/17-03 43 0 38 47 W 17 28 3 1 W45 139 W 21 2488 P 03/17-04 43 0 37 48 W 17 1 141 W 20 2361 P 03/17-05 43 0 38 45 W 16 1 143 W 18 2234 P 03/17-06 58 0 38 43 W 14 22 2 1 W79 144 W 17 2107 P 03/17-07 58 0 39 43 W 10 1 213 W 14 2174 P 03/17-08 58 0 41 42 W 7 1 281 W 10 2241 P 03/17-09 58 0 45 36 W 5 5 2 1 W45 349 W 8 2308 P 03/17-10 58 0 50 28 W 3 1 2042 W 14 42996 F 03/17-11 58 0 54 21 SW 5 1 3734 W 20 83684 G 03/17-12 58 0 58 17 SW 7 7 2 1 SW44 5426 SW 26 124372 V 03/17-13 58 0 61 15 SW 12 1 6827 SW 30 183161 E 03/17-14 58 0 63 14 SW 16 1 8227 SW 32 241949 E 03/17-15 58 0 64 14 SW 20 31 2 1 SW36 9628 SW 36 300737 E 03/17-16 58 0 64 14 SW 21 1 8089 SW 37 257315 E 03/17-17 58 0 61 16 SW 21 1 6550 SW 38 213893 E 03/17-18 71 20 57 20 SW 18 30 3 1 W45 5011 W 39 170472 E 03/17-19 71 20 54 24 W 15 1 4810 SW 28 121541 V 03/17-20 71 20 50 31 N 10 1 4609 SW 17 72610 G 03/17-21 71 20 45 41 NE 7 7 2 1 SW59 4409 SW 6 23679 P 03/17-22 71 20 41 50 E 5 1 4021 SW 7 22877 P 03/17-23 71 20 38 59 SE 2 1 3633 W 7 22074 P 03/18-00 71 20 37 64 S 2 2 2 1 SW54 3245 W 8 21272 P 03/18-01 71 20 34 68 S 3 1 2529 W 10 19073 P 03/18-02 71 20 33 67 SW 5 1 1814 W 13 16873 P 03/18-03 71 20 32 65 W 7 7 2 1 W54 1098 W 15 14673 P 03/18-04 71 20 32 61 W 8 1 1257 W 18 21663 P 03/18-05 71 20 32 54 W 9 1 1416 W 23 28652 P 03/18-06 29 0 32 49 W 9 9 3 1 W47 1575 W 26 35641 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ANTHONY PISCOPO REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110315.BEARC.01/BOU