FNUS75 KBOU 161026 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GREY ROCK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 425 AM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY... .DISCUSSION...GUSTY WEST WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER FROM NOON THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING. FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ON THURSDAY AS WELL. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS WITH HUMIDITY LEVELS DROPPING DOWN TO 10-15 PERCENT. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT BUT THERE MAY BE A BETTER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....67. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 24-38 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24-32 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 36-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 6800-7800 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....38. MAX HUMIDITY........51%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 28-36 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....59. MIN HUMIDITY........24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 6800-7800 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GREY ROCK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/16-04 46 0 35 55 W 31 1 149 W 26 3358 P 03/16-05 46 0 35 54 W 31 1 152 W 25 3373 P 03/16-06 44 0 35 54 W 30 48 5 1 W20 155 W 25 3387 P 03/16-07 44 0 36 53 W 28 1 209 W 25 4558 P 03/16-08 44 0 39 47 W 26 1 264 W 25 5729 P 03/16-09 44 0 44 40 W 25 40 4 1 W28 319 W 25 6900 P 03/16-10 44 0 49 33 W 26 1 1763 W 29 53338 F 03/16-11 44 0 53 27 W 28 1 3208 W 32 99776 G 03/16-12 48 1 57 24 W 30 48 4 1 W26 4652 W 36 146214 V 03/16-13 48 1 60 21 W 33 1 5697 W 39 196730 E 03/16-14 48 1 63 19 W 36 1 6742 W 41 247246 E 03/16-15 48 1 64 19 W 36 58 3 1 W43 7787 W 44 297762 E 03/16-16 48 1 63 18 W 31 1 7257 W 45 281736 E 03/16-17 48 1 62 20 W 25 1 6726 W 46 265710 E 03/16-18 62 1 60 20 W 20 31 3 1 W47 6196 W 46 249685 E 03/16-19 62 1 58 23 W 16 1 4605 W 37 173624 E 03/16-20 62 1 54 26 SW 13 1 3014 W 28 97563 G 03/16-21 62 1 50 31 SW 13 21 3 1 W52 1423 SW 17 21503 P 03/16-22 62 1 47 36 SW 15 1 1024 SW 17 15537 P 03/16-23 62 1 45 40 W 20 1 625 W 18 9572 P 03/17-00 62 4 44 43 W 22 35 4 1 W48 227 W 18 3607 P 03/17-01 62 4 42 46 W 21 1 228 W 16 3263 P 03/17-02 62 4 41 48 W 18 1 230 W 15 2919 P 03/17-03 62 4 40 50 W 15 24 3 1 W60 232 W 13 2575 P 03/17-04 62 4 39 51 W 14 1 272 W 14 3269 P 03/17-05 62 4 40 50 W 13 1 312 W 15 3963 P 03/17-06 30 0 40 49 W 12 18 2 1 W74 352 W 15 4656 P 03/17-07 30 0 41 47 W 10 1 894 W 16 13104 P 03/17-08 30 0 42 44 SW 9 1 1436 SW 17 21552 P 03/17-09 30 0 45 37 S 8 13 2 1 W75 1977 SW 17 30000 P 03/17-10 30 0 48 32 S 7 1 3520 SW 21 70660 G 03/17-11 30 0 51 28 S 7 1 5063 W 23 111320 V 03/17-12 30 0 54 26 S 7 7 2 1 W59 6606 W 26 151980 E 03/17-13 30 0 56 25 SW 8 1 7235 W 28 173141 E 03/17-14 30 0 57 24 SW 9 1 7863 SW 29 194302 E 03/17-15 71 20 58 25 SW 9 9 3 1 W56 8491 SW 29 215462 E 03/17-16 71 20 57 26 S 8 1 7424 SW 24 162598 E 03/17-17 71 20 55 28 E 7 1 6357 SW 18 109734 V 03/17-18 92 60 51 33 NE 6 6 3 1 SW46 5289 SW 13 56871 F 03/17-19 92 60 49 37 E 6 1 3928 SW 10 40161 F 03/17-20 92 60 45 43 E 6 1 2566 S 8 23451 P 03/17-21 92 60 40 51 E 6 6 3 1 SW48 1205 SE 7 6741 P 03/17-22 92 60 37 58 E 6 1 1125 SE 7 7068 P 03/17-23 92 60 35 61 SE 7 1 1044 SE 8 7395 P 03/18-00 91 50 33 63 SE 7 7 2 1 SW56 964 S 9 7722 P 03/18-01 91 50 31 63 E 7 1 993 SE 8 7252 P 03/18-02 91 50 30 61 NE 7 1 1022 NE 8 6782 P 03/18-03 91 50 29 59 N 7 7 2 1 W48 1051 N 7 6312 P 03/18-04 91 50 28 59 N 8 1 1063 N 9 8241 P 03/18-05 91 50 29 58 N 8 1 1074 NW 10 10170 P 03/18-06 56 10 29 57 N 8 8 2 1 SW53 1086 NW 13 12099 P 03/18-07 56 10 30 57 N 7 1 1449 NW 10 11809 P 03/18-08 56 10 30 56 E 5 1 1812 W 8 11519 P 03/18-09 56 10 33 51 SE 3 3 3 1 SW54 2176 W 6 11229 P 03/18-10 56 10 37 44 SE 3 1 3170 W 8 25408 P 03/18-11 56 10 40 39 SE 6 1 4165 SW 10 39587 P 03/18-12 32 0 42 35 SE 7 7 2 1 W45 5160 SW 12 53766 F 03/18-13 32 0 44 33 SE 8 1 5257 SW 15 68236 G 03/18-14 32 0 46 32 SE 9 1 5354 SW 17 82706 G 03/18-15 32 0 46 31 SE 10 10 2 1 SW56 5451 SW 21 97176 G 03/18-16 32 0 46 32 SE 12 1 5124 SW 20 87612 G 03/18-17 32 0 45 35 SE 12 1 4796 SW 18 78048 G 03/18-18 39 0 43 37 SE 12 18 3 1 SW53 4469 S 17 68484 G 03/18-19 39 0 42 39 SE 12 1 3630 S 17 55061 F 03/18-20 39 0 39 42 SE 12 1 2791 S 17 41638 F 03/18-21 39 0 37 45 SE 10 10 3 1 SW47 1953 S 16 28215 P 03/18-22 39 0 35 47 S 9 1 1505 S 15 21031 P 03/18-23 39 0 33 48 S 9 1 1057 S 14 13848 P 03/19-00 39 0 32 49 S 8 8 3 1 SW46 609 S 13 6664 P 03/19-01 39 0 31 53 S 7 1 576 S 12 5813 P 03/19-02 39 0 31 58 S 7 1 542 S 10 4963 P 03/19-03 39 0 30 65 S 6 6 3 1 SW53 509 S 9 4113 P 03/19-04 39 0 30 72 S 5 1 534 S 8 3890 P 03/19-05 39 0 30 78 S 3 1 559 S 8 3668 P 03/19-06 18 0 30 84 S 3 3 3 1 SW39 584 S 7 3445 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110315.GREYR.01/BOU