FNUS72 KILM 151302
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCKEITHAN...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
902 AM EDT TUE MAR 15 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON MARCH 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...A FRONT STALLED TO OUR SOUTH WILL SLOWLY START MOVING BACK TO THE NORTH TODAY.
THIS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS TODAY. THIS HAS BEEN A BIG POINT OF
UNCERTAINTY OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS AND STILL REMAINS SO. RAINFALL CHANCES ARE
SLIM AT BEST ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST TODAY. SHOULD RAINFALL OCCUR AT ALL IT
WILL BE EXTREMELY LIGHT. RADAR CURRENTLY SHOWS SOME LIGHT RAIN ABOUT 50 MILES OFF THE
COAST...MOVING TOWARDS SHORE. FOR THE MOST PART THIS RAIN WILL JUST GLANCE PENDER
AND PERHAPS NEW HANOVER COUNTY...

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............76     78     76     71
WEATHER COV.........              CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................57     63     65     64
RH..................73     66     65     67
20 FT WIND..........E 6    E 8    E 8    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH
                    LATE.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............70     69     67     70     78     80
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................64     61     59     59     58     58
RH..................69     77     84     89     91     92
20 FT WIND..........E 6    SE 5   S 5    S 5    S 5    S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     10     10     10     10     5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700-6000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............78     83     71     64     55     41
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP................57     58     64     69     71     71
RH..................93     95     77     63     55     52
20 FT WIND..........S 5    SW 6   SW 6   SW 7   SW 7   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15     15     15

$$
FORECASTER...BACON
REQUESTED BY...ANGIE CARL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110315.MCKEI.01/ILM