FNUS75 KBOU 171252 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR GREY ROCK...FORT COLLINS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 650 AM MDT THU MAR 17 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...WEST WINDS IN THE FOOTHILLS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS MORNING AND SHIFT TO AN EAST TO SOUTHEAST DIRECTION THIS AFTERNOON. HUMIDITIES WILL BE STEADY OR SLOWLY RISING THIS MORNING... THEN INCREASE FURTHER WITH THE WIND SHIFT THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP IN THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING... POSSIBLY MIXED WITH RAIN AT FIRST. A WETTING RAIN/SNOW EVENT IS LIKELY OVERNIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....53. MIN HUMIDITY........31%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 11-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST TO SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 7200-8200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100... THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY UNTIL 2100. SNOW LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....25. MAX HUMIDITY........80-100%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200-7200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1000-2000 FT AGL AFTER 0200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2300. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....43. MIN HUMIDITY........37%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 3400-4400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR GREY ROCK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/17-06 56 8 44 37 SW 17 28 2 1 SW63 3118 W 25 68060 G 03/17-07 56 8 41 39 SW 15 1 3099 W 23 62201 G 03/17-08 56 8 41 38 SW 12 1 3080 SW 21 56343 F 03/17-09 63 8 42 37 SW 9 16 2 1 W74 3060 SW 18 50485 F 03/17-10 63 8 45 36 SW 8 1 4609 SW 23 102732 V 03/17-11 63 8 48 35 SW 7 1 6157 SW 26 154979 E 03/17-12 64 15 50 35 SW 7 7 2 1 W84 7705 SW 31 207226 E 03/17-13 64 15 51 33 S 6 1 7944 SW 30 208153 E 03/17-14 64 15 51 32 SE 6 1 8183 SW 30 209080 E 03/17-15 79 38 51 31 SE 6 6 2 1 SW78 8422 SW 29 210008 E 03/17-16 79 38 51 33 SE 6 6 1 7984 S 25 175141 E 03/17-17 79 38 50 36 E 7 1 7545 S 21 140274 V 03/17-18 95 74 48 40 E 8 13 2 1 SW74 7107 S 17 105406 V 03/17-19 95 74 45 46 SE 6 1 6263 S 16 87247 G 03/17-20 95 74 41 54 S 3 1 5419 SE 14 69088 G 03/17-21 95 74 37 62 CALM 1 2 1 SW74 4575 SE 13 50929 F 03/17-22 95 74 35 67 CALM 1 4156 SE 12 42586 F 03/17-23 95 74 33 69 S 2 1 3737 SE 10 34243 P 03/18-00 95 70 32 70 S 3 3 2 1 SW73 3317 SE 9 25900 P 03/18-01 95 70 30 71 S 5 1 2703 SE 8 20346 P 03/18-02 95 70 29 70 SE 5 1 2089 SE 8 14791 P 03/18-03 95 70 28 69 SE 6 6 2 1 SW62 1474 SE 7 9236 P 03/18-04 95 70 27 70 SE 7 1 1202 SE 7 7410 P 03/18-05 95 70 26 72 SE 8 1 930 S 7 5584 P 03/18-06 97 40 26 72 SE 9 15 2 1 SW52 658 S 7 3759 P 03/18-07 97 40 26 70 S 9 1 910 S 6 3966 P 03/18-08 97 40 27 67 SW 7 1 1163 S 5 4173 P 03/18-09 97 40 30 57 W 6 6 2 1 W52 1416 S 3 4380 P 03/18-10 78 40 33 50 W 6 1 2690 W 15 36084 P 03/18-11 78 40 36 44 SW 7 1 3261 W 16 47658 F 03/18-12 78 0 38 41 SW 8 8 2 1 W61 3833 SW 17 59232 F 03/18-13 78 0 40 38 SW 7 1 4064 SW 18 64632 G 03/18-14 63 0 41 37 SW 6 1 4295 SW 18 70033 G 03/18-15 63 0 42 37 SW 5 5 2 1 W54 4526 W 20 75433 G 03/18-16 63 0 42 38 SW 3 1 4047 SW 16 59398 F 03/18-17 63 0 41 40 S 3 1 3568 SW 13 43362 F 03/18-18 40 0 39 43 S 3 3 2 1 W56 3089 SW 10 27327 P 03/18-19 40 0 38 45 S 5 1 2426 SW 10 21210 P 03/18-20 40 0 36 47 S 7 1 1764 S 9 15094 P 03/18-21 40 0 34 50 S 8 8 2 1 W55 1101 S 9 8977 P 03/18-22 40 0 32 51 S 8 1 925 S 9 7520 P 03/18-23 40 0 31 51 S 8 1 749 S 9 6063 P 03/19-00 40 0 30 53 S 8 8 3 1 SW54 573 S 9 4605 P 03/19-01 40 0 30 57 S 7 1 572 S 8 4265 P 03/19-02 40 0 29 62 S 7 1 571 S 8 3925 P 03/19-03 40 0 29 68 S 6 6 3 1 SW45 570 S 7 3585 P 03/19-04 40 0 28 76 S 6 1 591 S 7 3605 P 03/19-05 40 0 28 83 S 6 1 612 S 7 3625 P 03/19-06 21 0 29 89 S 6 6 3 1 SW51 633 S 7 3645 P 03/19-07 21 0 29 94 S 6 1 821 S 8 6082 P 03/19-08 21 0 33 84 SW 7 1 1009 SW 9 8519 P 03/19-09 21 0 37 73 SW 8 8 3 1 W44 1198 SW 10 10957 P 03/19-10 21 0 42 62 SW 9 1 2460 SW 14 37833 P 03/19-11 21 0 46 53 SW 10 1 3722 SW 17 64709 G 03/19-12 21 0 50 46 SW 12 18 3 1 SW47 4984 SW 21 91585 G 03/19-13 21 0 53 40 SW 12 1 6099 SW 24 133687 V 03/19-14 21 0 55 37 SW 10 1 7215 SW 28 175789 E 03/19-15 21 0 56 35 SW 10 10 3 1 SW56 8331 SW 30 217891 E 03/19-16 21 0 55 34 SW 10 1 7451 SW 30 193886 E 03/19-17 21 0 54 35 SW 12 1 6571 SW 30 169881 E 03/19-18 17 0 51 37 SW 13 21 3 1 SW63 5691 SW 30 145876 V 03/19-19 17 0 49 38 SW 14 1 3944 SW 25 99385 G 03/19-20 17 0 45 41 SW 14 1 2196 SW 21 52893 F 03/19-21 17 0 41 45 SW 15 24 3 1 W64 449 SW 16 6402 P 03/19-22 17 0 39 46 SW 16 1 368 SW 15 5034 P 03/19-23 17 0 37 47 SW 16 1 287 SW 14 3666 P 03/20-00 17 0 35 47 SW 16 25 3 1 SW52 206 SW 13 2299 P 03/20-01 17 0 34 49 SW 14 1 199 SW 10 1832 P 03/20-02 17 0 33 50 SW 10 1 193 SW 8 1366 P 03/20-03 17 0 32 52 SW 8 8 2 1 W58 186 W 6 900 P 03/20-04 17 0 32 54 SW 9 1 194 W 8 1355 P 03/20-05 17 0 32 54 W 13 1 201 W 10 1811 P 03/20-06 27 0 32 54 W 15 24 4 1 SW58 209 W 13 2267 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...RICK BACHAND REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110316.GREYR.01/BOU