FNUS73 KDVN 161425
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOOLESBORO...LOUISA COUNTY CONSERVATION BOARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
925 AM CDT WED MAR 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER WILL MOVE EAST THIS
MORNING.  THIS WILL ALLOW THIS MORNINGS LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
TO TURN TO THE SOUTH AND INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH BY EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...AFTERNOON MAXIMUM 65.
RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...AFTERNOON MINIMUM 38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTH
                    TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...
                    THEN DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 16 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     57     62     64     61
RH..............62     46     40     39     46
EYE LEVEL WIND..200/3  210/7  210/10 210/11 190/10
EYE LEVEL GUST..5      10     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....5      4      4      4      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MINIMUM 48.
RH..................MAXIMUM 93 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...SHEETS
REQUESTED BY...KATIE HAMMOND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110316.TOOLE.01/DVN