FNUS73 KEAX 161608 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR CHARITON WEST UNIT...MODNR STATE PARKS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1108 AM CDT WED MAR 16 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND THURSDAY AS STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW ADVECTS WARMER TEMPERATURES INTO THE REGION. THESE WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY GUST INTO THE 25-30 MPH RANGE DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY AND INTO THE 25-35 MPH RANGE TOMORROW...WHICH WILL ELEVATE THE FIRE RISK THROUGH THURSDAY. MOISTURE APPEARS TO BE A LITTLE SLOWER TO RETURN THIS MORNING THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED WHICH MAY TEND TO KEEP RH VALUES A LITTLE LOWER BY THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...INCREASING MOISTURE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY AND TOMORROW WILL PREVENT A SIGNIFICANT FIRE DANGER. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...WITH MULTIPLE CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS RETURNING FOR SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.0 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-4900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........17 16 19 23 27 29 31 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............55 58 61 64 65 66 65 RH..............60 57 49 45 43 43 44 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 13 14 14 13 13 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...DEROCHE REQUESTED BY...LEE WILBECK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110316.CHARI.01/EAX