FNUS74 KEPZ 161546
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SNARE MESA...NM-SDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
946 AM MDT WED MAR 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0955 MDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVED THROUGH THE AREA THIS
MORNING...IN THE WAKE OF THIS DISTURBANCE...SURFACE WINDS MAY LAG
BEHIND NORMAL DIURNAL TRENDS BY A COUPLE HOURS.  OTHERWISE...EXPECT
WEST-SOUTHWEST 20-FOOT WINDS TO INCREASE TO AROUND 10 MPH BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.  STRONGER PRESSURE GRADIENT TOMORROW WILL BRING SLIGHTLY
BREEZIER SOUTHWEST WINDS TOMORROW.  MIN RH THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL
DROP INTO THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS.  FIRE WX WATCH FOR THURSDAY
LOOKS IFFY...WAITING ON NEW GUIDANCE TRENDS AND WILL EITHER CANCEL
OR UPGRADE BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
RH..................32 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 9 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 8 TO
                    13 MPH BY AFTERNOON... BRIEF GUSTS 15-18 MPH
                    POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAXIMUM 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 4 KNOTS INCREASING TO WEST 14 TO
                    15 KNOTS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION.........119,000 KNOT-FEET (VERY GOOD).


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37.
RH..................MAX 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 6 TO 11 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100-8500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 18 KNOTS DECREASING TO AROUND 6 KNOTS
                    LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH AROUND 3 KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAXIMUM 9200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 4 KNOTS INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 19
                    TO 20 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION.........175000 KNOT-FEET (EXCELLENT).

$$
FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110316.SNARE.01/EPZ