FNUS75 KGJT 162051
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR STORMVEX - PM...NWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
251 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1430 MDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE NEXT WINTER STORM IS DEEPENING OVER THE GREAT BASIN. PRE-FRONTAL
WARM ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
STRENGTHENING. CLOUD CEILINGS WILL LOWER TONIGHT WITH SNOW SHOWERS
BECOMING LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVIER SNOW IS EXPECTED THURSDAY
WHEN THE FRONT ARRIVES. A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM
6AM THURSDAY THROUGH 6AM FRIDAY WITH 10-20 INCHES EXPECTED.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CLOUD BASES.........5000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING LOWERING TO 1000 FT
                    TOWARDS MORNING. OCCASIONALLY <500 FT AGL DURING
                    SHOWERS.
CLOUD TOPS..........25000 FT MSL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 35 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100%). PERIODS OF SNOW.
CLOUD BASES.........LOWERING TO THE STUDY SITE.
CLOUD TOPS..........25000 FT MSL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....26-31 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...DUTY FORECASTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110316.STORM.02/GJT