FNUS72 KILM 161327 FWSILM SPOT FORECAST FOR MEYERS 3...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC 927 AM EDT WED MAR 16 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... ...A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. RAIN CHANCES ARE SLIM... ON THE ORDER OF 20 PERCENT. ANY RAINFALL WILL BE VERY LIGHT AND SHORT-LIVED. WIND WILL BE TRICKY TODAY AS THE FRONT WILL BE CLOSE TO THE SITE OF THE FIRE SOON AFTER IGNITION TIME...CHANGING WINDS FROM SW TO NW. THIS SHOULD PREVENT THE SEA BREEZE FROM MAKING MUCH INLAND PROGRESS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY IN THE MORNING....BECOMING PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING NW. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............45 55 63 60 60 61 62 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP................64 66 66 67 67 67 66 RH..................73 68 65 62 61 59 60 20 FT WIND DIR......SW SW W W W W NW 20 FT WIND SPD......7 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE. MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 13 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............55 41 35 29 18 13 12 11 10 10 10 10 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................65 62 59 57 55 53 52 51 50 48 47 47 RH..................62 67 73 77 82 85 87 88 88 88 88 88 20 FT WIND DIR......NW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW N N 20 FT WIND SPD......5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 13 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 3 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............9 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................46 45 47 51 55 60 63 64 67 67 67 65 RH..................89 90 81 71 61 49 45 43 40 41 42 48 20 FT WIND DIR......N N N N N N N N N NW NW W 20 FT WIND SPD......3 2 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...BACON REQUESTED BY...ANGIE CARL TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110316.MEYER.01/ILM