FNUS72 KILM 162128
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAWLEYS ISLAND WOODS FIRE...GEORGETOWN COUNTY EMD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
528 PM EDT WED MAR 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1714 EDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AT THE LOCAL FIRE SITE...THE SEA BREEZE WILL NOT BE A FACTOR...AS
THIS BOUNDARY HAS BEEN PUSHED OFFSHORE. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
EVENING...EXPECT WINDS TO TREND TOWARD NORTHERLY. A LOW-LEVEL
INVERSION WILL SET-UP BY LATE EVENING...WHILE CONTINUING TO
STRENGTHEN OVERNIGHT. IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS WE EXPECT A LIGHT
NE WIND FLOW AT THE FIRE SITE...PERSISTING THROUGH DAYBREAK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............34     30     24     15     8      7
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................68     62     58     55     52     50
RH..................52     62     69     71     74     76
20 FT WIND..........NW 6   NW 4   NW 5   NW 5   NW 5   N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10            10            10
EYE LEVEL WIND......NW 4   NW 3   NW 4   NW 4   NW 4   N 4
EYE LVL WND GST.....10     10            10            10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3100 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    0 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............6      5      3      1      0      0
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................49     47     55     62     64     64
RH..................82     89     67     52     49     51
20 FT WIND..........N 5    N 6    N 5    NE 3   NE 2   E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10            5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND......N 4    N 4    N 4    NE 2   NE 2   E 2
EYE LVL WND GST.....10     10            5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...SAM HODGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110316.PAWLE.01/ILM