FNUS73 KLSX 161246 FWSLSX SPOT FORECAST FOR MARK TWAIN LAKE...CORPS OF ENGINEERS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 746 AM CDT WED MAR 16 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 CDT ON MARCH 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SIGNIFICANT WARM UP IS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CWR.................0 PERCENT. LAL.................NO TSTMS. TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 64. RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND...EYE LEVEL....WIND SOUTH AT 3 MPH USING A ADJUSTMENT FACTOR OF 0.3. WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WIND 9 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AT IGNITION...4100 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (11013 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING. $$ FORECASTER...GKS REQUESTED BY...ALLEN MEHRER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110316.MARKT.01/LSX