FNUS74 KMAF 161102
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNIPER RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
602 AM CDT WED MAR 16 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON MARCH 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE SHOWING A SURFACE TROUGH HOLDING IN THE VICINITY OF THE
BURN SITE WITH WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WEST OF THE TROUGH AND
SOUTHEAST WINDS TO THE EAST. THE CURRENT OBSERVATION SHOWS SSE
WINDS THOUGH MODELS SHOW THEY SHOULD BE FROM THE WEST SO THEY MAY
NOT BE HANDLING THE TROUGH LOCATION WELL. WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY
LIGHT TODAY WITH SOME GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASE AGAIN
BRIEFLY TONIGHT THEN MORE SUSTAINED FROM THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST
THURSDAY WHEN A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT. MINIMUM AFTERNOON
HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 10 PERCENT WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY
EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........7 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5
                    MPH...THEN BECOMING WEST 11 TO 16 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).

TIME (MDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............53     67     77     85     86
RH..............27     13     8      7      7
20 FT WIND DIR..NW     W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..2      3      9      13     15
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     15     20
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........30 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............85     74     69     64     59     55
RH..............8      10     12     15     18     22
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..15     12     11     15     16     13
20 FT WIND GUST.20                          20     15
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........8 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     53     65     76     83     86
RH..............26     30     20     13     9      8
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      SW     SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD..10     10     10     11     16     19
20 FT WIND GUST.                            20     25
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      6

$$

FORECASTER...HENNIG
REQUESTED BY...KEN ROBERTS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110316.JUNIP.01/MAF