FNUS73 KDVN 171541
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKHAWK SHS RX FIRE...ROCK ISLAND SWCD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1041 AM CDT THU MAR 17 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA AT
THIS TIME.  IT APPEARS THAT THEY WILL BE EAST OF THE BURN LOCATION
BY IGNITION TIME...BUT THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS POSSIBLE
INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

OTHERWISE...WE HAVE A COLD FRONT DROPPING TOWARDS THE AREA WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO BRING INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY.  THE FRONT SHOULD PASS THROUGH THE BURN LOCATION BETWEEN 3
AND 6 PM THIS EVENING.

AHEAD OF THE FRONT CONDITIONS WILL BE WARM...DRY AND BREEZY.
THE RELATIVELY SHELTERED BURN LOCATION WILL HAVE LESS SUSTAINED
WIND BUT MAY HAVE GUSTY CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY BEFORE NOON.
TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 61 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS SOUTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION.
                    SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 11 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........WINDS SHIFTING FROM SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
                    BETWEEN NOON AND 3 PM.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL AROUND IGNITION...INCREASING
                    TO 2200-2400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 23
                    TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............61     64     66     66
RH..............70     73     70     69
EYE LEVEL WIND..190/11 200/12 220/14 230/13
EYE LEVEL GUST..18     22     25     22

$$
FORECASTER...LE
REQUESTED BY...MATT SCHRAMM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110317.BLACK.01/DVN