FNUS73 KPAH 171341 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR NATURE STATION FIELDS...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 841 AM CDT THU MAR 17 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 17. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. HOWEVER...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES MAY STILL DROP WELL INTO THE 30S OVER PORTIONS OF THE AREA...ESPECIALLY WEST KENTUCKY...DUE TO THE MAJOR WARM UP EXPECTED. THIS AREA ALSO HAS THE DRIEST FUELS ACCORDING TO YESTERDAYS OBSERVATIONS...SO THE FIRE DANGER WILL BE HIGH TO EXTREME TODAY OVER WEST KENTUCKY. ANY SUBSTANTIAL CLOUDINESS SHOULD STAY TO THE WEST OF THE BURN AREA. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY TOMORROW...WHICH WILL BUMP UP RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS WELL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 77. RH..................43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2700-3900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 TO 36 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............67 71 73 75 76 75 74 RH..............43 38 35 33 32 34 37 20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW S 20 FT WIND SPD..13 15 16 16 15 14 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 30 30 30 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.4 3.4 3.9 3.9 2.9 1.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S S SW TRANSP WIND SPD.29 28 29 30 32 33 35 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 37 TO 46 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 39 TO 47 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 26 TO 33 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............72 66 63 61 59 57 RH..............41 52 58 62 72 80 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 5 SW 5 SW 4 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 100 300 300 300 300 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 37 SW 43 SW 47 SW 46 W 43 W 33 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 2 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75. RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1800-3100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............56 64 71 74 RH..............86 75 61 55 20 FT WIND......SW 2G5 SW 5 SW 5G10 SW 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1200 2600 3000 TRANSPORT WIND..W 21 W 8 W 3 SW 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...TIM VETTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110317.NATUR.01/PAH