FNUS73 KJKL 181245
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGAR RUN B...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
845 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MARCH 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL BRING MOSTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES
ACROSS THE IGNITION SITE TODAY. LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO TRANSPORT HIGHER SURFACE MOISTURE INTO THE AREA TODAY. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 50 PERCENT TODAY AS DEWPOINTS
CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 50S BY THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES
ARE STARTING OFF WARM THIS MORNING...INCREASED CLOUD COVER WILL ONLY
ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO AROUND 70 THIS AFTERNOON. THE COLD
FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE IGNITION SITE BY 1 AM
TONIGHT...WITH THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS OCCURRING AT THIS
TIME. SOME VERY LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................5 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      12 PM  2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........90     85     83     87
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............64     66     68     66
RH..............53     53     54     61
20 FT WIND......SW 7   SW 8   SW 7   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
POP.................50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........90     94     100    100    100    100
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............64     60     58     56     54     53
RH..............67     80     90     96     93     89
20 FT WIND......W 3    W 2    W 2    NW 2   N 3    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL
                    EVENING.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
POP.................30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST IN THE MID TEENS MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........88     92     88     73     67     61
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     56     60     63     65     64
RH..............86     73     61     52     47     48
20 FT WIND......N 3    N 5    N 6    N 6    NE 6   N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5             10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...SULLIVAN
REQUESTED BY...SHANE STURGILL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110318.SUGAR.01/JKL