FNUS73 KPAH 181304 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CANE RIDGE WEST UNIT B...USFS MARK TWAIN NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 804 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL PRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...BRINGING A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST LATE THIS MORNING. ALONG WITH THE FRONT WILL COME AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN SATURDAY...WITH ANOTHER SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY AS THE FRONT RETURNS BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 74. RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION... THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3200-4100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 4 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH LATE. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............67 69 70 72 72 72 72 70 RH..............65 61 57 51 51 49 48 51 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W NW NW N NE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 3.3 3.7 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.4 2.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W NW N NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.2 3 3 4 4 5 9 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............68 60 56 54 51 50 RH..............52 67 74 77 83 86 20 FT WIND......NE 7 NE 6 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 1700 1600 1600 1600 1600 TRANSPORT WIND..N 22 NE 23 NE 21 NE 20 NE 20 NE 20 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64. RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............49 55 60 62 RH..............86 69 60 58 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 6G10 E 6G10 E 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1600 2800 2500 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 18 E 17 E 18 E 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...TIM PERREN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110318.CANER.02/PAH