FNUS73 KPAH 181643 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CROSSROADS-ST STEPHENS BLK...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1143 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CDT ON MARCH 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE QUAD STATE REGION AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. ALONG WITH THE WARM WEATHER WILL COME A SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT PRESSES SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL MAINLY BE SOUTHWEST MOST OF THE DAY AS THIS FRONT MEANDERS JUST NORTH OF THE BURN AREA. HOWEVER...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE SOMEWHAT AFTER THE FRONT SLIDES SOUTH OF THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS SHOULD BE INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY AS WELL. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S STILL LOOK LIKELY WITH LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY READINGS AROUND 50 PERCENT. IF ANY SHOWERS OR STORMS DEVELOP...IT WOULD BE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...BUT COVERAGE APPEARS LIMITED AT THIS TIME. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 76. RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...DECREASING TO UNDER 3000 FT AGL BY 600 PM. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW TEMP............73 73 73 70 RH..............57 57 57 62 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W NW 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 4.0 3.5 2.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W N TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 12 16 CWR.............10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 18 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............67 61 58 56 53 51 RH..............69 68 80 83 89 89 20 FT WIND......N 5 N 5 N 5 N 5 NE 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 1500 1400 1500 1600 1500 TRANSPORT WIND..N 18 N 22 NE 21 NE 18 NE 20 NE 20 CWR.............10 10 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65. RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............51 56 61 63 RH..............86 72 60 54 20 FT WIND......NE 5G10 NE 6G10 NE 6G10 NE 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1400 1800 2600 3100 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 20 E 18 E 17 E 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...REGINA ROBY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110318.CROSS.01/PAH