FNUS73 KPAH 181421
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR EBP PRESCRIBED BURN...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
921 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MARCH 18.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
PLEASE DISREGARD LAST SPOT FORECAST SENT...THIS IS A CORRECTED FORECAST.

UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE QUAD STATE REGION AS
WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. ALONG WITH THE WARM WEATHER WILL COME A
SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT PRESSES SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL
MAINLY WEST/SOUTHWEST MOST OF THE DAY AS THIS FRONT MEANDERS
ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE
NORTH AND INCREASE SOMEWHAT AS THE FRONT SLIDES SOUTH OF THE
AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS STILL SOME QUESTION AS TO THE DEGREE
OF CLOUDINESS TODAY...BUT CLOUDS SHOULD BE INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
HIGHS IN THE 70S STILL LOOK LIKELY WITH LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY
READINGS AROUND 50 PERCENT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 76.
RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...BECOMING NORTHWEST WINDS BY LATE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3700-5000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............71  74  74  74  74  72
RH..............63  57  55  55  55  57
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  W   W   W   NW  N
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   8   9   10
20 FT WIND GUST.            9   10  12
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 4.9 5.0 4.8 4.3 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   9   9   10  10
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...KYLE VAREL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110318.EBPPR.01/PAH