FNUS73 KPAH 181247 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TRUPEN RX...USFS SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 747 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0755 CDT ON MARCH 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL PRESS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...BRINGING A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH LATE THIS MORNING. ALONG WITH THE FRONT WILL COME AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN SATURDAY...WITH ANOTHER SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY AS THE FRONT RETURNS BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 72. RH..................86 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 1700 FT AGL BY 10 AM...THEN 2200-3600 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4 TO 8 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 13 MPH AND INCREASING TO 13 TO 19 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............58 59 61 64 66 68 69 71 70 71 71 69 RH..............86 83 81 73 68 61 59 55 55 53 51 55 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW N N N N N N 20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 4 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.4 2.8 2.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W NW NW NW N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 7 8 10 13 18 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............66 59 56 54 51 50 RH..............58 72 77 83 89 86 20 FT WIND......N 6 N 5 N 4 N 4 N 4 NE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1200 1300 1400 1200 1000 TRANSPORT WIND..N 22 N 22 NE 18 NE 17 NE 15 NE 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64. RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............49 55 60 62 RH..............86 69 58 52 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 7G10 NE 6G10 NE 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1700 2700 3100 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 13 E 18 E 17 E 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...TYLER VAN ORMER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110318.TRUPE.01/PAH