FNUS73 KPAH 181348 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR UPALIKA 3-5...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 848 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 18. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE QUAD STATE REGION AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. ALONG WITH THE WARM WEATHER WILL COME A SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT PRESSES SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL MAINLY BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING AS THIS FRONT MEANDERS ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST AND INCREASE SOMEWHAT AS THE FRONT SLIDES SOUTH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS STILL SOME QUESTION AS TO THE DEGREE OF CLOUDINESS TODAY...BUT HIGHS IN THE 70S STILL LOOK LIKELY WITH LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY READINGS IN THE LOWER 40S. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 74. RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1700-2000 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING INCREASING TO 2500-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THROUGH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............67 69 70 72 72 72 72 70 RH..............65 61 57 51 51 49 48 51 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW NE NE N N NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 2.0 2.3 2.5 3.1 4.0 3.4 2.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW S SE E NE NE NE TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 2 1 1 3 9 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 20 TO 23 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............68 60 56 54 51 50 RH..............52 67 74 77 83 86 20 FT WIND......NE 7 NE 6 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2100 1600 1600 1600 1600 1600 TRANSPORT WIND..N 22 NE 23 NE 21 NE 20 NE 20 NE 20 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...TIM PERREN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110318.UPALI.01/PAH