FNUS75 KABQ 192152
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR VALLE CANYON FIRE...SANTA FE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
352 PM MDT SAT MAR 19 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM MDT MONDAY...

DISCUSSION...
SIGNIFICANT DRY SLOT WILL TAKE AIM ON THE FIRE AREA LATER TODAY.
THE MAIN AFFECTS WILL BE OVERNIGHT AND INCLUDE POOR HUMIDITY
RECOVERY AT THE MIDSLOPE LEVELS. HOWEVER...HUMIDITY TODAY COULD
FALL INTO THE LOWER TEENS BEFORE OR RIGHT AROUND SUNDOWN.
THE UPPER FLOW WILL GRADUALLY TURN WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND REMAIN
MODERATE TO STRONG BEFORE WEAKENING SOME ON SUNDAY WHILE TURNING
SOUTHWESTERLY. TERRAIN DRIVEN FLOWS WILL DOMINATE THE LOWER
THIRD OF THE VALLEY CANYON. A SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER EVENT IS
BREWING FOR MONDAY.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A FEW FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57-58.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 11-12 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. SOME GUSTS
                       IN THE LOW/MID 20S.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 25 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/250000 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/69156 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/250000 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 28-30 BOTTOM OF THE CANYON AND 35 TO 37
                       MIDSLOPE.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 40-45 PERCENT BOTTOM OF THE CANYON AND
                       22 TO 26 PERCENT MIDSLOPE.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH AT RIDGETOP
                       LOWERING TO 5 TO 10 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
                       UPCANYON AND CROSSSLOPE WINDS WITHIN
                       THE LOWER THIRD OF THE CANYON BECOMING
                       DOWNSLOPE/DOWNCANYON 2 TO 4 MPH BY MID
                       EVENING.

FOR SUNDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54-57.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 11-13 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH AT RIDGETOP
                       SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH
                       IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS IN THE LOWER
                       20S. MORE TERRAIN DRIVEN INFLUENCES
                       WITHIN THE LOWER THIRD OF
                       THE CANYON INCLUDING UPCANYON AND
                       UPSLOPE 5 TO 8 MPH MOST OF THE DAY
                       ALTHOUGH A CROSS SLOPE COMPONENT
                       POSSIBLE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 23 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/172500 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/67222 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/170648 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...50

$$

REQUESTED BY...VALLE LOOKOUT
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110319.VALLE.01/ABQ