FNUS73 KPAH 191537 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CROSSROADS-ST STEPHENS BLK...USFS LBL NAT REC AREA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1037 AM CDT SAT MAR 19 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL PRODUCE A COOLER AND DRIER NORTHEAST WIND FLOW TODAY. AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST TONIGHT...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS ARKANSAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT. THIS WARM FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION EARLY SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A RETURN TO UNSEASONABLY WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 66. RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION... OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 2700-3100 FT AGL DURING THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............62 63 64 65 65 63 RH..............50 46 45 41 41 44 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 7 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 16 16 15 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR LOW TO VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............61 57 54 52 51 50 RH..............48 55 61 66 71 80 20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 5 E 4 E 4 E 3 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2400 900 100 300 300 200 TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 E 10 E 9 E 10 E 10 E 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 2 2 2 2 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78. RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 21 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............49 61 72 77 RH..............86 67 53 47 20 FT WIND......E 2G5 SE 5 S 7G10 S 8G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1200 1800 3300 TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 E 10 S 15 S 21 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...REGINA ROBY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110319.CROSS.01/PAH