FNUS73 KPAH 191239 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR TURPEN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 739 AM CDT SAT MAR 19 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL PRODUCE A COOLER AND DRIER NORTHEAST WIND FLOW TODAY. AS THE HIGH MOVES EAST TONIGHT...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD ACROSS ARKANSAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT. THIS WARM FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION EARLY SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A RETURN TO UNSEASONABLY WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON TUESDAY...EAST ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW CROSSES OUR REGION. COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 65. RH..................74 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1500-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............52 56 59 61 62 63 64 64 62 RH..............74 64 55 49 48 44 43 43 46 20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE E E E E E NE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 15 16 17 17 17 16 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............60 56 53 51 50 49 RH..............49 57 64 71 77 80 20 FT WIND......NE 6 E 5 E 4 E 4 E 3 E 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2300 800 100 300 300 200 TRANSPORT WIND..E 14 E 10 E 9 E 12 E 13 E 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76. RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 11 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............48 59 70 75 RH..............86 67 55 50 20 FT WIND......E 2G5 SE 5G10 S 7G10 S 9G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1200 1800 3200 TRANSPORT WIND..E 16 E 13 S 14 S 22 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...FRANK PAUKERT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110319.TURPE.01/PAH