FNUS71 KPBZ 181251
FWSPBZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUZZARD SWAMP RX...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
851 AM EDT FRI MAR 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY INTO TONIGHT...BRINGING ISOLATED
SHOWERS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND. A SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL BRING
SHOWERS AND MILD TEMPERATURES SUNDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3000-3500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 22 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 19 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.                  SHOWERS
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...30
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS WAVEREK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110319.BUZZA.01/PBZ