FNUS75 KVEF 190436
FWSVEF

SPOT FORECAST FOR CENTER...CAL FIRE BDU
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
936 PM PDT FRI MAR 18 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0200 PDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NEARBY OBSERVATIONS INDICATE SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
DIMINISHING BETWEEN INDEPENDENCE AND BISHOP. HOWEVER...HIGHER
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE STILL OCCURRING JUST BELOW SOME CANYON OPENINGS
WEST OF HIGHWAY 395. THE VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES CURRENTLY
BEING OBSERVED WILL START TO RISE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS PRECIPITATION
PRESENTLY WEST OF THE SOUTHERN SIERRA STARTS TO MAKE ITS WAY EAST OVERNIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. NEWEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THERE IS LESS
LIKELIHOOD OF STRONG WEST WINDS SATURDAY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THIS
SCENARIO SO ADJUSTED THE WIND FORECAST FOR SATURDAY BASED OFF THE
LATEST GUIDANCE.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS LATE OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........29-39 PERCENT.
  20 FT-10 MIN AVG..SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 35 MPH BELOW CANYON OPENINGS.
  10K FT WIND.......SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 24 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........GOOD.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
  20 FT-10 MIN AVG..SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH BELOW CANYON OPENINGS IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
  10K FT WIND.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
CWR (>= 0.10 IN)....20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 27 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...PIERCE
REQUESTED BY...BC MELENDREZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110319.CENTE.01/VEF