FNUS75 KBOU 211141 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIAN GULCH...JEFFERSON COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 530 AM MDT MON MAR 21 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION...VERY DRY AIR IS IN PLACE OVER THE FIRE...WITH EVEN DRIER AIR ABOVE AND SOUTHWEST OF THE AREA THAT WILL SPREAD IN THIS MORNING. SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 10-20 MPH ARE ALREADY BLOWING ON THE HIGHER FOOTHILLS RIDGES. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR A FEW HOURS AND MAY INCREASE A LITTLE. THE SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE 10 TO 25 MPH RANGE SHOULD MIX DOWN BY LATE THIS MORNING...THEN INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG THIS EVENING. THERE WILL BE SOME INCREASE IN HUMIDITY...BUT THE RED FLAG CONDITIONS MAY LAST PAST 2200. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 0300 WITH THE WINDS SHIFTING TO THE WEST. WE ARE SHOWING A LULL IN THE WIND...BUT VERY STRONG WESTERLY GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND SUNRISE TUESDAY. STRONG WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY AND POSSIBLY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITIES. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE COOLER WITH STILL HIGHER HUMIDITIES BUT IT WILL STILL BE DRY WITH SOME WIND. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-74. MIN HUMIDITY........3-7%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH BY 0800...THEN SOUTHWEST WINDS 14-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH BY 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 32-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9600-10600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45. MAX HUMIDITY........24-29%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN 8-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 41-52 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 36-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 2800-3800 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2200...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-57. MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 14-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN 24-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32-40 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN AROUND 28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11600-12600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR INDIAN GULCH. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/21-05 59 0 42 23 W 8 7 1 311 SW 7 1772 P 03/21-06 37 0 40 20 W 9 14 3 1 SW59 220 SW 8 1611 P 03/21-07 37 0 38 19 SW 9 1 275 SW 9 2354 P 03/21-08 37 0 41 15 SW 9 1 330 SW 10 3097 P 03/21-09 37 0 45 13 SW 9 14 4 1 SW51 385 S 12 3839 P 03/21-10 37 0 51 10 SW 9 1 3195 SW 18 87773 G 03/21-11 37 0 59 8 SW 10 1 6005 SW 26 171706 E 03/21-12 54 0 65 7 SW 13 20 3 1 SW45 8816 SW 33 255639 E 03/21-13 54 0 68 6 SW 16 1 9531 SW 33 280661 E 03/21-14 54 0 70 6 SW 20 1 10247 SW 35 305683 E 03/21-15 54 0 71 6 SW 22 33 2 1 SW48 10962 SW 35 330705 E 03/21-16 54 0 70 7 SW 22 1 10257 SW 38 330380 E 03/21-17 54 0 69 9 SW 20 1 9552 SW 40 330055 E 03/21-18 69 5 67 11 W 18 28 2 1 SW48 8847 SW 43 329730 E 03/21-19 69 5 64 13 W 20 1 7252 SW 45 278006 E 03/21-20 69 5 59 16 W 20 1 5658 SW 47 226281 E 03/21-21 69 5 55 19 W 20 30 3 1 SW45 4063 SW 49 174556 E 03/21-22 69 5 53 21 W 16 1 3593 SW 46 146740 V 03/21-23 69 5 51 22 W 13 1 3124 SW 43 118924 V 03/22-00 38 5 49 23 W 9 14 2 1 SW76 2654 SW 39 91108 G 03/22-01 38 5 48 25 W 8 1 2942 SW 38 97128 G 03/22-02 38 5 47 27 W 8 1 3231 SW 37 103148 V 03/22-03 38 5 46 29 W 9 14 2 1 SW71 3519 SW 36 109168 V 03/22-04 38 5 45 28 W 10 1 3698 SW 38 122892 V 03/22-05 38 5 44 28 W 13 1 3876 SW 40 136616 V 03/22-06 59 1 43 27 W 14 21 2 1 SW54 4055 SW 43 150341 E 03/22-07 59 1 43 26 W 14 1 4284 W 40 149092 V 03/22-08 59 1 43 25 NW 14 1 4514 W 38 147844 V 03/22-09 59 1 43 25 NW 13 20 3 1 SW51 4743 W 36 146596 V 03/22-10 59 1 45 22 W 14 1 7299 W 30 187020 E 03/22-11 59 1 47 20 W 16 1 8815 W 29 216029 E 03/22-12 33 1 50 17 W 18 28 2 1 W25 10330 W 28 245037 E 03/22-13 33 1 53 15 W 21 1 11160 W 28 271492 E 03/22-14 33 1 54 14 W 23 1 11990 W 29 297947 E 03/22-15 33 1 55 13 W 25 38 2 1 SW23 12820 W 29 324402 E 03/22-16 33 1 55 12 W 26 1 12546 W 29 314541 E 03/22-17 33 1 55 12 W 28 1 12272 W 29 304680 E 03/22-18 26 0 54 12 W 26 40 2 1 SW17 11998 W 29 294819 E 03/22-19 26 0 50 14 W 22 1 9661 W 29 240717 E 03/22-20 26 0 47 17 W 16 1 7323 W 30 186614 E 03/22-21 26 0 45 19 W 12 17 4 1 SW 8 4986 W 31 132511 V 03/22-22 26 0 42 22 W 12 1 4607 W 31 125883 V 03/22-23 26 0 40 25 W 13 1 4229 W 32 119255 V 03/23-00 26 0 38 28 W 15 23 4 1 SW 8 3850 W 33 112627 V 03/23-01 26 0 37 30 W 15 1 3802 W 36 117150 V 03/23-02 26 0 37 30 W 14 1 3755 W 37 121674 V 03/23-03 26 0 36 31 W 14 21 2 1 W15 3707 W 39 126198 V 03/23-04 26 0 37 29 W 14 1 3880 W 39 132725 V 03/23-05 26 0 37 28 W 14 1 4053 W 39 139251 V 03/23-06 22 0 36 28 W 14 21 2 1 W17 4225 W 39 145778 V 03/23-07 22 0 35 28 W 13 1 4319 W 37 136526 V 03/23-08 22 0 34 27 W 10 1 4412 W 33 127274 V 03/23-09 22 0 38 22 W 9 14 2 1 W20 4505 W 30 118022 V 03/23-10 22 0 41 18 W 8 1 5641 W 28 127738 V 03/23-11 22 0 44 15 W 7 1 6776 W 24 137454 V 03/23-12 22 0 48 12 W 7 7 2 1 W25 7912 W 22 147171 V 03/23-13 22 0 52 9 W 8 1 8502 W 22 157508 E 03/23-14 22 0 54 8 W 9 1 9093 W 21 167845 E 03/23-15 22 0 55 7 W 10 16 2 1 W37 9684 W 21 178182 E 03/23-16 22 0 56 7 NW 10 1 9228 W 17 137674 V 03/23-17 22 0 56 7 NE 9 1 8772 SW 13 97165 G 03/23-18 30 5 54 8 E 8 8 2 1 SW32 8316 SW 8 56656 F 03/23-19 30 5 51 11 NE 7 1 6617 S 7 42977 F 03/23-20 30 5 47 16 NW 6 1 4919 S 7 29298 P 03/23-21 30 5 45 21 W 5 5 2 1 SW29 3220 SE 6 15620 P 03/23-22 30 5 42 27 W 5 1 2585 SE 5 12065 P 03/23-23 30 5 40 32 W 3 1 1950 E 5 8509 P 03/24-00 30 5 38 36 W 3 3 2 1 SW33 1315 E 5 4954 P 03/24-01 30 5 37 38 W 3 1 1521 NE 3 4563 P 03/24-02 30 5 37 38 W 2 1 1728 N 3 4171 P 03/24-03 30 5 35 41 W 2 2 2 1 SW40 1935 NW 2 3780 P 03/24-04 30 5 37 39 W 2 1 1913 NW 3 5707 P 03/24-05 30 5 37 39 W 2 1 1891 W 5 7634 P 03/24-06 46 3 36 40 W 2 2 2 1 SW44 1869 SW 6 9562 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD REQUESTED BY...ANTHONY PISCOPO REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110320.INDIA.02/BOU