FNUS75 KBOU 202303 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUT CREEK...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 502 PM MDT SUN MAR 20 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...PLEASE NOTE I ADJUSTED THE LAT...LON TO MAKE IT PLOT ON THE WEB PAGE ON THE DOUGLAS...TELLER COUNTY LINE NORTH OF THE MANCHESTER RAWS SITE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY... AN UPPER TROUGH ON THE WEST COAST WILL KEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. SOUTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH THROUGH 2000. ON MONDAY THE GRADIENT ALOFT WILL TIGHTEN...A SURFACE LEE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP...AND WE ANTICIPATE A CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS...ALONG WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITIES NEAR OR BELOW 10 PERCENT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....26. MAX HUMIDITY........44%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9-15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN AROUND 12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60. MIN HUMIDITY........9%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 23-33 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28-36 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 48-56 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 6800-7800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....33. MAX HUMIDITY........43%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 16-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 36-52 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 2300...THEN 1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 0500...THEN 3400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 2400...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0400...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0500...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....46. MIN HUMIDITY........11%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 16-26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 33-44 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 28-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11600-12600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0600. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0600... THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1800...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TROUT CREEK. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/20-16 23 0 54 9 S 13 1 10863 SW 23 212760 E 03/20-17 23 0 52 11 S 12 1 10325 SW 24 214886 E 03/20-18 26 0 49 14 S 12 18 2 1 W41 9786 SW 25 217011 E 03/20-19 26 0 47 16 S 10 1 6927 SW 21 149048 V 03/20-20 26 0 43 21 S 9 1 4068 SW 17 81085 G 03/20-21 26 0 39 26 SW 9 15 2 1 SW64 1209 SW 13 13122 P 03/20-22 26 0 35 32 SW 10 1 863 SW 13 9452 P 03/20-23 26 0 33 36 SW 12 1 517 SW 14 5782 P 03/21-00 24 0 32 38 SW 13 21 3 1 SW63 172 SW 14 2113 P 03/21-01 24 0 30 35 SW 13 1 158 SW 14 1851 P 03/21-02 24 0 29 31 SW 12 1 144 SW 13 1588 P 03/21-03 24 0 28 29 SW 10 16 3 1 SW56 131 SW 12 1326 P 03/21-04 24 0 28 33 SW 10 1 132 SW 13 1477 P 03/21-05 24 0 28 39 SW 12 1 133 SW 14 1628 P 03/21-06 24 4 28 44 SW 13 21 3 1 SW53 134 SW 15 1779 P 03/21-07 24 4 29 44 SW 15 1 205 SW 20 3952 P 03/21-08 24 4 32 37 SW 18 1 276 SW 23 6125 P 03/21-09 24 4 37 29 SW 22 35 3 1 SW33 347 SW 28 8298 P 03/21-10 24 4 42 23 SW 24 1 2122 SW 37 95857 G 03/21-11 24 4 47 18 SW 28 1 3897 SW 46 183415 E 03/21-12 29 0 51 15 SW 29 46 3 1 SW38 5671 SW 55 270974 E 03/21-13 29 0 54 11 SW 30 1 6506 SW 53 295629 E 03/21-14 29 0 56 9 SW 30 1 7340 SW 51 320285 E 03/21-15 29 0 57 9 SW 29 46 2 1 SW33 8175 SW 48 344940 E 03/21-16 29 0 57 10 SW 28 1 7713 SW 48 321712 E 03/21-17 29 0 56 14 SW 25 1 7251 SW 47 298485 E 03/21-18 44 1 53 19 SW 23 35 2 1 SW59 6789 SW 47 275257 E 03/21-19 44 1 51 22 SW 21 1 5919 SW 46 235847 E 03/21-20 44 1 47 26 SW 18 1 5049 SW 45 196436 E 03/21-21 44 1 43 32 SW 17 26 2 1 SW71 4179 SW 44 157025 E 03/21-22 44 1 41 35 SW 18 1 3529 SW 44 133164 V 03/21-23 44 1 39 36 SW 20 1 2879 SW 44 109302 V 03/22-00 42 1 38 37 SW 21 31 3 1 SW82 2228 SW 44 85441 G 03/22-01 42 1 36 40 SW 21 1 2040 SW 43 75956 G 03/22-02 42 1 35 42 SW 21 1 1853 SW 41 66471 G 03/22-03 42 1 35 43 SW 21 31 2 1 SW86 1665 SW 39 56986 F 03/22-04 42 1 34 43 SW 18 1 2507 SW 38 79308 G 03/22-05 42 1 34 42 SW 17 1 3350 SW 36 101629 V 03/22-06 55 1 35 39 W 16 24 2 1 SW75 4192 SW 35 123951 V 03/22-07 55 1 35 35 W 17 1 4737 W 37 154186 E 03/22-08 55 1 35 32 W 20 1 5282 W 39 184422 E 03/22-09 55 1 37 27 W 22 33 2 1 SW58 5827 W 43 214657 E 03/22-10 55 1 39 21 W 22 1 7482 W 37 228794 E 03/22-11 55 1 41 17 W 22 1 9136 W 32 242932 E 03/22-12 27 1 43 14 W 22 33 2 1 W39 10790 W 28 257069 E 03/22-13 27 1 44 12 W 22 1 11540 W 29 285536 E 03/22-14 27 1 45 12 W 22 1 12291 W 29 314004 E 03/22-15 27 1 45 11 W 22 33 2 1 W28 13042 W 30 342471 E 03/22-16 27 1 45 11 W 22 1 12629 W 32 350213 E 03/22-17 27 1 44 12 W 23 1 12216 W 33 357956 E 03/22-18 27 10 42 13 W 23 35 2 1 W36 11803 W 36 365698 E 03/22-19 27 10 41 15 W 22 1 10438 W 36 321703 E 03/22-20 27 10 38 17 W 21 1 9072 W 36 277707 E 03/22-21 27 10 36 20 W 20 30 2 1 W26 7707 W 35 233712 E 03/22-22 27 10 34 23 W 20 1 6836 W 35 205545 E 03/22-23 27 10 32 25 W 21 1 5966 W 35 177379 E 03/23-00 27 10 32 26 W 21 31 2 1 NW15 5095 W 33 149213 V 03/23-01 27 10 31 29 W 21 1 4544 W 32 128299 V 03/23-02 27 10 30 31 W 20 1 3993 W 31 107385 V 03/23-03 27 10 29 33 W 18 28 3 1 W29 3442 W 29 86471 G 03/23-04 27 10 29 34 W 18 1 3267 W 29 81989 G 03/23-05 27 10 29 34 W 18 1 3093 W 29 77507 G 03/23-06 19 0 29 34 W 17 26 3 1 W54 2919 W 29 73025 G 03/23-07 19 0 30 32 W 15 1 3424 W 29 85970 G 03/23-08 19 0 32 28 W 14 1 3930 W 29 98915 G 03/23-09 19 0 35 23 W 12 17 3 1 W62 4436 W 29 111861 V 03/23-10 19 0 38 19 W 10 1 5251 W 31 142432 V 03/23-11 19 0 42 16 W 10 1 6065 W 32 173004 E 03/23-12 19 0 44 14 W 10 16 3 1 W56 6880 W 35 203575 E 03/23-13 24 0 46 13 W 9 1 7184 W 33 204913 E 03/23-14 24 0 48 12 W 9 1 7489 W 32 206251 E 03/23-15 24 0 48 12 W 8 8 2 1 W60 7793 W 31 207588 E 03/23-16 24 0 48 12 W 8 1 7200 W 28 175801 E 03/23-17 24 0 47 13 W 7 1 6606 W 24 144014 V 03/23-18 24 7 45 14 W 7 7 2 1 W58 6012 W 22 112227 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...RUSSELL DAWDY REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110320.TROUT.02/BOU