FNUS71 KPHI 201456
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRENDAN BYRNE SF RXB...NJ FOREST FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1056 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTHEASTERN QUEBEC PROVINCE CANADA WILL
MOVE SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A WARM FRONT WILL  CROSS
THE REGION MONDAY MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT MONDAY EVENING.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL RIDE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND
PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD INTO THE AREA FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........

TIME (EDT)          11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP................42  43  45  47  47  48  47
RH..................44  43  41  38  38  37  37
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  E   E    E  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......6   5   5   7   10  12  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10          10  15  15  15

WIND SHIFT..........NORTHEAST WIND WILL SLOWLY VEER TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH RESOLUTION
                    WEATHER MODELS SUGGESTING WINDS MIGHT BECOME
                    LIGHTER AND MORE VARIABLE 2 PM TO 3 PM BEFORE
                    THE SEA BREEZE FRONT/WIND SHIFT LINE PASSES.
                    MOST LIKELY TIME AROUND 3 PM, GREATER CONFIDENCE
                    BY 4 PM.

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.


TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
TEMP................46  43  40  39  38  37  37  36  36  37  37  38
RH..................40  45  52  57  64  70  70  75  75  75  79  79
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......9   8   7   6   5   3   3   3   5   6   6   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  10  10  10      5   5   5               10

$$
FORECASTER...GIGI
REQUESTED BY...STEVE HOLMES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110320.BREND.01/PHI