FNUS75 KBOU 202351 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR HOWARD RX...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 550 PM MDT SUN MAR 20 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...ALTHOUGH WE DO NOT HAVE A RED FLAG WARNING FOR YOUR AREA ON MONDAY THE WINDS AFTER 1200 COULD BE STRONGER THAN WE CURRENTLY ARE FORECASTING. HOWEVER HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL DROP DOWN TO 10-14% BY AFTERNOON. DISPERSAL WILL BE POOR THROUGH 1200 BUT WILL IMPROVE TO GOOD BY 1400 AS WINDS INCREASE AND BETTER MIXING OCCURS. SINCE YOU PLAN ON BURNING AT 1100 I WOULD REQUEST ANOTHER FORECAST IN THE MORNING TO GET THE MOST UPDATED DATA IN CASE THE WINDS MAY END UP BEING STRONGER THAN WE ARE CURRENTLY FORECASTING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33. MAX HUMIDITY........56%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12-16 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN EAST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....72. MIN HUMIDITY........10-14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTH 10-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2200-3200 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 9200-10200 FT AGL UNTIL 1600...THEN 7200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 3800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....32. MAX HUMIDITY........63%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....56. MIN HUMIDITY........18%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 11-21 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 21-27 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17-28 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 14200-15200 FT AGL AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0600... THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1800...THEN ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR HOWARD RX. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/20-17 40 0 60 18 SE 15 1 6685 S 13 74313 G 03/20-18 35 0 57 21 SE 14 13 3 1 SW25 5506 S 15 69288 G 03/20-19 35 0 54 23 SE 9 1 3717 S 14 46626 F 03/20-20 35 0 50 27 E 7 1 1927 SW 12 23965 P 03/20-21 35 0 46 31 NE 8 16 3 1 S30 138 SW 10 1303 P 03/20-22 35 0 42 36 E 10 1 123 S 10 1160 P 03/20-23 35 0 40 40 E 9 1 109 SE 10 1017 P 03/21-00 24 0 39 43 E 10 16 3 1 SW56 94 E 10 874 P 03/21-01 24 0 37 47 E 8 1 97 E 9 752 P 03/21-02 24 0 36 50 E 6 1 100 E 7 630 P 03/21-03 24 0 35 53 E 5 5 3 1 SW52 103 SE 6 508 P 03/21-04 24 0 34 55 E 5 1 109 E 6 537 P 03/21-05 24 0 35 54 E 6 1 116 E 6 566 P 03/21-06 25 0 35 55 NE 7 7 4 1 SW40 122 E 6 595 P 03/21-07 25 0 36 56 E 6 1 270 E 5 970 P 03/21-08 25 0 39 52 E 5 1 417 SE 5 1345 P 03/21-09 25 0 45 44 E 3 3 3 1 SW37 565 S 3 1720 P 03/21-10 25 0 51 36 SE 3 1 1991 S 7 20016 P 03/21-11 25 0 56 29 SE 5 1 3417 SW 10 38313 P 03/21-12 40 0 61 24 S 6 6 3 1 SW30 4843 SW 14 56610 F 03/21-13 40 0 64 20 S 7 1 6738 SW 15 92817 G 03/21-14 40 0 67 16 S 8 1 8632 SW 16 129024 V 03/21-15 40 0 68 15 S 9 15 4 1 SW31 10527 SW 18 165231 E 03/21-16 40 0 68 14 S 9 1 7126 SW 15 111110 V 03/21-17 40 0 66 16 SW 9 1 3725 SW 13 56988 F 03/21-18 40 0 62 19 SW 9 14 4 1 SW26 324 SW 10 2866 P 03/21-19 40 0 59 22 SW 8 1 252 SW 9 2182 P 03/21-20 40 0 53 28 S 8 1 179 S 9 1498 P 03/21-21 40 0 48 36 S 8 8 3 1 SW35 107 S 9 814 P 03/21-22 40 0 43 44 S 9 1 104 S 10 886 P 03/21-23 40 0 41 50 S 10 1 102 S 10 957 P 03/22-00 40 0 39 55 S 10 16 3 1 SW54 100 S 12 1029 P 03/22-01 40 0 37 60 SW 8 1 105 SW 9 835 P 03/22-02 40 0 36 62 SW 5 1 110 SW 7 640 P 03/22-03 40 0 35 63 SW 3 3 3 1 SW47 116 W 5 446 P 03/22-04 40 0 34 63 W 5 1 177 W 8 1614 P 03/22-05 40 0 34 61 NW 8 1 238 NW 12 2783 P 03/22-06 53 0 35 58 NW 10 16 2 1 SW36 299 NW 15 3952 P 03/22-07 53 0 36 55 NW 12 1 1029 NW 20 22244 P 03/22-08 53 0 36 53 NW 14 1 1759 NW 23 40537 F 03/22-09 53 0 40 46 NW 15 23 2 1 S32 2489 W 28 58829 F 03/22-10 53 0 44 39 W 17 1 4877 W 28 118125 V 03/22-11 53 0 47 34 W 21 1 7265 W 28 177421 E 03/22-12 32 0 50 30 W 23 35 3 1 W16 9653 W 29 236717 E 03/22-13 32 0 53 25 W 24 1 11665 W 29 298420 E 03/22-14 32 0 54 21 W 25 1 13677 W 30 360122 E 03/22-15 32 0 55 19 W 25 38 4 1 W26 15690 W 31 421825 E 03/22-16 32 0 55 18 W 25 1 15030 W 33 434281 E 03/22-17 32 0 53 18 W 25 1 14370 W 36 446737 E 03/22-18 18 0 50 20 W 24 37 3 1 W39 13710 W 38 459193 E 03/22-19 18 0 47 23 W 22 1 10403 W 40 353810 E 03/22-20 18 0 43 29 W 20 1 7097 W 41 248428 E 03/22-21 18 0 39 37 W 18 28 3 1 W43 3790 W 44 143045 V 03/22-22 18 0 36 42 W 18 1 2621 W 37 97373 G 03/22-23 18 0 34 46 W 20 1 1452 W 31 51701 F 03/23-00 23 0 32 48 W 21 31 3 1 NW44 283 W 24 6029 P 03/23-01 23 0 31 53 W 21 1 261 W 23 5277 P 03/23-02 23 0 30 56 W 18 1 238 W 22 4524 P 03/23-03 23 0 29 59 W 17 26 2 1 NW37 216 W 20 3772 P 03/23-04 23 0 28 62 NW 15 1 226 NW 18 3647 P 03/23-05 23 0 29 62 NW 13 1 237 NW 17 3523 P 03/23-06 19 0 29 61 NW 12 17 2 1 W37 248 NW 16 3399 P 03/23-07 19 0 30 60 NW 13 1 1071 NW 21 26450 P 03/23-08 19 0 32 54 NW 16 1 1894 W 25 49502 F 03/23-09 19 0 36 46 W 18 28 2 1 W22 2717 W 31 72553 G 03/23-10 19 0 41 38 W 20 1 4587 W 32 130502 V 03/23-11 19 0 45 32 NW 21 1 6457 W 33 188450 E 03/23-12 19 0 48 27 NW 21 31 2 1 W40 8327 W 35 246398 E 03/23-13 25 0 51 24 NW 20 1 9053 W 32 248123 E 03/23-14 25 0 53 21 NW 18 1 9779 W 30 249848 E 03/23-15 25 0 54 20 NW 16 24 3 1 W39 10504 W 28 251573 E 03/23-16 25 0 53 20 NW 14 1 7451 W 23 173224 E 03/23-17 25 0 52 21 NW 12 1 4398 NW 18 94875 G 03/23-18 25 7 48 25 NW 9 14 3 1 W31 1345 NW 14 16527 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JAMES WHITE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110321.HOWAR.02/BOU