FNUS75 KBOU 220043 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIAN GULCH FIRE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 643 PM MDT MON MAR 21 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY... .DISCUSSION...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH HUMIDITIES RANGING FROM 5% TO 10%. AFTER 2400 WINDS WILL SHIFT MORE TO THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST WITH SPEEDS IN THE 10 TO 20 MPH RANGE WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 30 MPH OVER THE RIDGES. LATE TONIGHT AFTER 0300 WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY WITH SPEEDS IN THE 10 TO 20 MPH RANGE WITH SOME GUSTS TO 30 MPH OVER THE RIDGES. AFTER 0600 ON TUESDAY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE WEST TO NORTHWEST AND GRADUALLY INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH BY 1200 WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. HUMIDITIES ON TUESDAY WILL DROP BACK TO THE 10 TO 15% RANGE BY 1200. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....39. MAX HUMIDITY........25-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH UNTIL 0300....THEN WEST TO 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 32-52 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6800-7800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 2600-3600 FT AGL AFTER 2200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0200...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0500...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....56. MIN HUMIDITY........10%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VERY WINDY. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 UNTIL 1200...THEN INCREASING TO 25-35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 14600-15400 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....33. MAX HUMIDITY........35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 15-25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......14200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 3800-4400 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. VERY GOOD AFTER 2300. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....57. MIN HUMIDITY........6%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-19 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-48 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR INDIAN GULCH FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/21-18 70 20 65 10 SW 17 28 2 1 SW44 7873 SW 52 350716 E 03/21-19 70 20 62 12 SW 16 1 6653 SW 52 296474 E 03/21-20 70 20 58 15 W 15 1 5432 SW 52 242233 E 03/21-21 70 20 54 17 W 14 22 3 1 SW39 4211 SW 52 187991 E 03/21-22 70 20 51 19 W 12 1 3685 SW 51 163513 E 03/21-23 70 20 50 21 W 10 1 3158 SW 51 139036 V 03/22-00 61 20 48 23 W 9 15 2 1 SW63 2632 SW 51 114558 V 03/22-01 61 20 47 25 W 9 1 2633 SW 43 97517 G 03/22-02 61 20 45 26 W 9 1 2634 SW 36 80476 G 03/22-03 61 20 44 27 W 10 16 2 1 SW70 2635 W 28 63435 G 03/22-04 61 20 43 27 W 12 1 3076 W 32 90603 G 03/22-05 61 20 42 28 W 13 1 3516 SW 37 117770 V 03/22-06 65 2 42 28 W 14 22 2 1 SW61 3956 SW 43 144938 V 03/22-07 65 2 41 27 W 13 1 4260 W 39 144117 V 03/22-08 65 2 42 27 W 12 1 4564 W 37 143296 V 03/22-09 65 2 43 25 NW 10 16 2 1 S49 4868 W 33 142475 V 03/22-10 65 2 45 22 W 13 1 7028 W 33 204588 E 03/22-11 65 2 48 19 W 15 1 9188 W 33 266701 E 03/22-12 40 2 51 16 W 18 30 2 1 SW21 11348 W 33 328813 E 03/22-13 40 2 54 14 W 21 1 12667 W 32 351939 E 03/22-14 40 2 55 13 W 23 1 13987 W 31 375065 E 03/22-15 40 2 56 13 W 24 39 4 1 W17 15307 W 30 398191 E 03/22-16 40 2 56 12 W 25 1 14926 W 32 414122 E 03/22-17 40 2 55 12 W 26 1 14544 W 35 430054 E 03/22-18 35 5 53 12 W 25 40 3 1 W25 14163 W 36 445985 E 03/22-19 35 5 49 15 W 20 1 11645 W 39 381579 E 03/22-20 35 5 45 18 W 15 1 9128 W 41 317173 E 03/22-21 35 5 43 20 W 13 21 2 1 NW35 6610 W 44 252766 E 03/22-22 35 5 41 23 W 13 1 5879 W 44 223051 E 03/22-23 35 5 40 25 W 15 1 5148 W 43 193336 E 03/23-00 29 5 38 28 W 16 25 2 1 NW30 4416 W 43 163621 E 03/23-01 29 5 37 30 W 15 1 4287 W 43 157141 E 03/23-02 29 5 36 33 W 13 1 4157 W 41 150662 E 03/23-03 29 5 35 35 W 12 18 3 1 NW29 4028 W 41 144182 V 03/23-04 29 5 35 35 W 14 1 3915 W 43 145884 V 03/23-05 29 5 35 35 W 17 1 3802 W 45 147586 V 03/23-06 19 0 35 35 W 18 30 3 1 NW31 3690 W 46 149287 V 03/23-07 19 0 33 35 W 16 1 3940 W 45 152865 E 03/23-08 19 0 34 31 W 13 1 4191 W 44 156443 E 03/23-09 19 0 38 23 W 9 9 3 1 NW28 4442 W 41 160020 E 03/23-10 19 0 42 17 W 8 1 5190 W 39 172051 E 03/23-11 19 0 46 13 W 8 1 5937 W 37 184082 E 03/23-12 20 0 50 9 W 8 8 3 1 NW22 6685 W 33 196113 E 03/23-13 20 0 54 7 W 9 1 7483 W 30 190310 E 03/23-14 20 0 56 7 W 10 1 8280 W 26 184508 E 03/23-15 20 0 57 6 W 12 18 3 1 W32 9078 W 23 178705 E 03/23-16 20 0 57 6 W 9 1 8585 W 21 157757 E 03/23-17 20 0 55 7 NW 7 1 8093 W 20 136808 V 03/23-18 24 7 54 8 NW 5 5 3 1 W38 7600 W 17 115860 V 03/23-19 24 7 49 10 NW 5 1 5893 W 14 81577 G 03/23-20 24 7 45 14 NW 5 1 4185 SW 10 47293 F 03/23-21 24 7 43 19 W 5 5 3 1 W29 2477 SW 6 13009 P 03/23-22 24 7 41 24 W 5 1 2272 S 6 11738 P 03/23-23 24 7 40 30 W 3 1 2067 S 6 10466 P 03/24-00 44 7 38 36 W 3 3 2 1 W38 1862 SE 6 9194 P 03/24-01 44 7 37 38 W 3 1 1775 SE 7 10461 P 03/24-02 44 7 36 40 W 3 1 1688 SE 8 11727 P 03/24-03 41 7 34 42 W 3 3 2 1 SW44 1601 SE 9 12993 P 03/24-04 41 7 35 41 W 3 1 1578 S 9 12307 P 03/24-05 41 7 35 41 W 3 1 1555 S 8 11620 P 03/24-06 41 3 34 41 W 3 3 2 1 SW44 1532 S 8 10934 P 03/24-07 41 3 32 44 W 3 1 1915 S 9 16493 P 03/24-08 41 3 33 41 W 2 1 2297 S 10 22052 P 03/24-09 37 3 38 33 W 2 2 2 1 SW46 2679 SW 12 27611 P 03/24-10 37 3 42 28 W 2 1 3359 SW 15 48457 F 03/24-11 37 3 46 23 W 2 1 4038 SW 18 69303 G 03/24-12 43 3 51 18 W 3 3 2 1 SW52 4717 SW 22 90149 G 03/24-13 43 3 55 14 W 5 1 5283 SW 23 106139 V 03/24-14 43 3 57 12 W 7 1 5848 SW 24 122129 V 03/24-15 43 3 58 11 W 8 8 3 1 SW48 6414 SW 25 138120 V 03/24-16 43 3 58 10 W 9 1 7034 SW 25 154446 E 03/24-17 43 3 57 10 W 10 1 7654 SW 25 170772 E 03/24-18 38 9 55 10 W 12 18 2 1 SW32 8274 SW 26 187099 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ANTHONY PISCOPO REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110321.INDIA.02/BOU