FNUS75 KBOU 212120 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SODA CREEK IA...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 320 PM MDT MON MAR 21 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT TUESDAY... .DISCUSSION...VERY STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED OVER THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT...THEN AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY. BEHIND THE TROUGH INCREASING WEST- NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED BY LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. CONCERNING LOW LEVEL WINDS...THEY WILL NEVER REALLY DIE DOWN OVERNIGHT AND WILL INCREASE AGAIN ON TUESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....60. MIN HUMIDITY........5-10%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 18-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 52 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35. MAX HUMIDITY........30-40%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN WEST 12-20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 32-52 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 2800-3600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 0300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 0400...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50. MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-48 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 32-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 12200-13200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SODA CREEK IA. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/21-15 50 0 58 10 SW 20 31 3 1 SW41 6167 SW 52 276743 E 03/21-16 50 0 57 11 SW 21 1 5982 SW 52 270507 E 03/21-17 50 0 56 13 SW 21 1 5798 SW 53 264272 E 03/21-18 74 20 54 15 SW 21 33 2 1 SW38 5613 SW 53 258037 E 03/21-19 74 20 52 17 SW 18 1 4916 SW 53 225386 E 03/21-20 74 20 48 19 SW 16 1 4219 SW 53 192735 E 03/21-21 74 20 45 22 SW 13 21 2 1 SW48 3522 SW 52 160084 E 03/21-22 74 20 43 24 W 10 1 3287 SW 52 147677 V 03/21-23 74 20 42 26 W 8 1 3052 SW 51 135270 V 03/22-00 68 20 40 28 W 8 13 2 1 SW71 2817 SW 51 122863 V 03/22-01 68 20 39 30 W 9 1 2940 SW 44 109478 V 03/22-02 68 20 38 32 W 12 1 3062 SW 37 96094 G 03/22-03 68 20 37 33 W 14 22 2 1 SW79 3185 W 30 82709 G 03/22-04 68 20 36 34 W 15 1 3339 W 36 104613 V 03/22-05 68 20 35 35 W 16 1 3493 SW 41 126516 V 03/22-06 72 10 34 35 W 16 25 2 1 SW78 3647 SW 47 148420 V 03/22-07 72 10 34 34 W 15 1 4102 W 45 157473 E 03/22-08 72 10 34 32 W 14 1 4558 W 43 166526 E 03/22-09 72 10 36 29 W 13 21 3 1 S51 5014 W 40 175579 E 03/22-10 72 10 38 24 W 15 1 7237 W 39 239367 E 03/22-11 72 10 42 20 W 17 1 9461 W 38 303154 E 03/22-12 45 10 44 18 W 20 31 2 1 W30 11684 W 36 366942 E 03/22-13 45 10 44 17 W 21 1 12338 W 36 376878 E 03/22-14 45 10 45 17 W 22 1 12993 W 35 386814 E 03/22-15 45 10 45 16 W 22 35 3 1 W30 13647 W 33 396751 E 03/22-16 45 10 45 16 W 23 1 13203 W 36 404642 E 03/22-17 45 10 44 16 W 23 1 12760 W 37 412534 E 03/22-18 45 5 42 18 W 23 37 2 1 W37 12317 W 39 420425 E 03/22-19 45 5 38 21 W 22 1 10052 W 43 356461 E 03/22-20 45 5 34 26 W 21 1 7787 W 45 292497 E 03/22-21 45 5 32 29 W 20 31 2 1 W37 5523 W 47 228533 E 03/22-22 45 5 29 34 W 18 1 5151 W 47 209612 E 03/22-23 45 5 28 36 W 18 1 4779 W 46 190691 E 03/23-00 37 5 27 39 W 17 26 2 1 W36 4407 W 45 171770 E 03/23-01 37 5 27 40 W 16 1 4361 W 46 172341 E 03/23-02 37 5 27 42 W 16 1 4315 W 46 172911 E 03/23-03 37 5 28 41 W 15 23 2 1 NW41 4268 W 47 173482 E 03/23-04 37 5 28 41 W 15 1 3800 W 48 159338 E 03/23-05 37 5 27 42 W 14 1 3332 W 51 145194 V 03/23-06 25 0 26 43 W 15 23 3 1 NW31 2864 W 53 131050 V 03/23-07 25 0 26 40 W 17 1 3124 W 52 138529 V 03/23-08 25 0 27 36 W 20 1 3384 W 49 146007 V 03/23-09 24 0 32 25 W 21 31 4 1 NW35 3644 W 48 153486 E 03/23-10 24 0 37 18 W 18 1 4620 W 44 169070 E 03/23-11 24 0 43 12 W 16 1 5595 W 39 184655 E 03/23-12 25 0 45 10 W 14 21 3 1 W38 6570 W 35 200240 E 03/23-13 25 0 44 10 W 14 1 6942 W 32 194765 E 03/23-14 25 0 45 10 W 15 1 7314 W 30 189291 E 03/23-15 25 0 45 11 W 15 23 3 1 W52 7685 W 28 183817 E 03/23-16 25 0 46 11 W 12 1 7098 W 25 159766 E 03/23-17 25 0 45 12 W 8 1 6511 W 24 135715 V 03/23-18 30 7 43 14 W 5 5 3 1 W53 5924 W 22 111664 V 03/23-19 30 7 39 19 W 5 1 4222 W 17 76139 G 03/23-20 30 7 35 25 W 6 1 2520 SW 12 40615 F 03/23-21 30 7 33 31 SW 7 7 2 1 W39 817 SW 7 5091 P 03/23-22 30 7 30 41 SW 7 1 697 S 7 4150 P 03/23-23 30 7 29 48 SW 6 1 577 S 6 3209 P 03/24-00 52 7 28 54 SW 6 6 2 1 W47 456 SE 6 2268 P 03/24-01 52 7 28 54 SW 6 1 746 SE 7 5151 P 03/24-02 52 7 28 53 SW 5 1 1035 S 8 8035 P 03/24-03 40 7 29 49 SW 5 5 2 1 SW49 1325 S 9 10918 P 03/24-04 40 7 29 47 SW 5 1 1121 S 9 9139 P 03/24-05 40 7 28 47 SW 5 1 918 S 9 7360 P 03/24-06 42 3 27 48 SW 5 5 2 1 SW44 715 S 9 5581 P 03/24-07 42 3 27 45 SW 5 1 1167 S 10 12157 P 03/24-08 42 3 28 41 SW 6 1 1619 SW 13 18733 P 03/24-09 45 3 34 31 SW 7 7 2 1 SW46 2071 SW 14 25309 P 03/24-10 45 3 38 25 SW 8 1 3305 SW 20 67773 G 03/24-11 45 3 45 19 SW 9 1 4540 SW 25 110237 V 03/24-12 46 3 47 16 SW 10 16 2 1 SW63 5774 SW 30 152701 E 03/24-13 46 3 46 16 SW 12 1 6047 SW 31 161070 E 03/24-14 46 3 47 15 SW 13 1 6320 SW 31 169438 E 03/24-15 46 3 47 15 W 13 20 3 1 SW58 6593 SW 31 177807 E 03/24-16 46 3 47 14 W 14 1 6588 SW 31 177510 E 03/24-17 46 3 47 14 W 14 1 6584 SW 31 177213 E 03/24-18 42 11 45 16 W 14 21 2 1 SW53 6579 SW 31 176916 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...ANTHONY PISCOPO REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110321.SODAC.01/BOU