FNUS73 KJKL 211301
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGAR RUN B...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
901 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...THE COMBINATION OF A GOOD PRESSURE GRADIENT AND STRONGER
WINDS ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15
MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER 5 PM.
ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY...
ALTHOUGH THESE WILL BE MORE CONFINED TO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....78.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........44     40     41     43
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     73     75     74
RH..............54     45     41     44
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 13  SW 12  SW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.20     25     25     15
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY...BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........45     42     38     35     35     34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............69     64     61     58     56     55
RH..............55     63     66     68     70     72
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 3   W 1    W 1    SW 1   SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....104.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........34     36     39     41     41     41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............54     61     68     74     77     75
RH..............74     58     47     41     39     41

$$
FORECASTER...RAY
REQUESTED BY...DIRK WILEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110321.SUGAR.01/JKL