FNUS73 KJKL 211805
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUGAR RUN B...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
205 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1350 EDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...THE COMBINATION OF A GOOD PRESSURE GRADIENT AND STRONGER
WINDS ALOFT WILL ALLOW FOR SUSTAINED SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15
MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER 5 PM.
ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY...
ALTHOUGH THESE WILL BE MORE CONFINED TO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    BETWEEN 20 AND 25 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........49     49     49
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............71     73     73
RH..............51     42     47
20 FT WIND......SW 13  SW 12  SW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY SHIFTING
                    TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........47     45     43     41     37     34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............69     65     61     59     56     55
RH..............55     61     65     69     70     72
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 3   W 1    W 1    SW 1   SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4 TO 11 MPH
                    UNTIL EVENING.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO
                    10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
POP.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........35     36     38     39     39     40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............54     61     68     73     76     75
RH..............74     58     47     37     39     41
20 FT WIND......SW 1   SW 5   SW 9   SW 12  SW 10  SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.              15     20     20     10

$$
FORECASTER...RAY
REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER WARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110321.SUGAR.04/JKL