FNUS73 KPAH 211236 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG SPRINGS RIDGE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 736 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STATIONARY FRONT WILL REMAIN OVER CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND CENTRAL INDIANA THROUGH TUESDAY. TO THE SOUTH OF THIS FRONT...A WARM SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW WILL PERSIST. THESE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3200-4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5200-6600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............65 68 71 73 75 76 77 76 75 RH..............58 52 46 40 35 35 38 44 48 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 8 9 9 9 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 3.2 4.9 6.2 6.6 6.5 5.9 5.2 4.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 15 12 12 13 15 17 20 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56. RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............73 67 64 62 60 58 RH..............52 63 70 72 76 80 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 4 S 3 SW 3 SW 2 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 1000 BLW100 300 200 200 TRANSPORT WIND..S 20 S 12 S 7 S 8 S 10 S 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76. RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 13 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3800 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............57 65 72 75 RH..............83 70 55 48 20 FT WIND......S 3G5 S 8G15 SW 11G25 S 13G30 MIX HGT (FT)....400 2200 2800 3700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 SW 22 SW 21 SW 25 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...BOBBY BLOODWORTH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110321.BIGSP.01/PAH