FNUS73 KPAH 211254 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CAVE HILL...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 754 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WARM SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY. THESE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT IGNITION... INCREASING TO 3400-4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............64 69 71 73 75 76 77 76 75 RH..............63 58 50 44 39 36 39 44 48 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 1.9 3.4 4.6 4.9 4.7 4.3 4.0 3.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.18 20 20 18 17 17 16 17 17 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56. RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............73 67 64 62 60 58 RH..............52 63 67 70 75 80 20 FT WIND......SW 6 S 5 S 3 S 3 SW 3 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2900 1000 BLW100 300 300 200 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 17 SW 12 SW 8 S 8 S 8 S 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78. RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............57 66 74 77 RH..............82 68 50 43 20 FT WIND......S 4G5 S 8G15 SW 12G30 S 11G25 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1300 2300 3000 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 SW 24 SW 25 SW 25 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...FRANK PAUKERT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110321.CAVEH.01/PAH