FNUS73 KPAH 211324 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CEDAR BLUFF...IDNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 824 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0750 CDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STATIONARY FRONT WILL REMAIN OVER CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND CENTRAL INDIANA THROUGH TUESDAY. TO THE SOUTH OF THIS FRONT...A WARM SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW WILL PERSIST. THESE SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY. ON WEDNESDAY...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND INDIANA. A COLD FRONT TRAILING SOUTHWEST FROM THIS LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS OUR REGION BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...BRINGING DRY AND MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. RH..................85 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 100-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-5600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............56 62 63 65 68 71 73 75 76 77 76 75 RH..............85 77 75 70 62 57 53 50 48 47 48 50 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.3 4.0 5.4 5.6 5.3 4.7 4.3 3.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.9 13 16 18 18 17 16 15 15 15 16 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 57. RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............73 68 65 63 60 59 RH..............53 61 68 71 73 77 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 20 FT WIND GUST.15 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 1100 BLW100 300 300 200 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16 S 10 S 7 S 8 S 8 S 8 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77. RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............58 66 73 76 RH..............83 68 53 46 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 9G15 S 11G25 S 12G30 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1400 2400 3000 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 SW 24 SW 26 SW 25 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...BOB LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110321.CEDAR.01/PAH