FNUS73 KPAH 212304 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR SMITH...USFWS CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 604 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1755 CDT ON MARCH 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... AS THE DUSK APPROACHES WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH MARKEDLY...BUT STILL REMAIN BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH DURING THE EVENING HOURS FROM THE SOUTH. GOOD HUMIDITY RECOVERY SHOULD TAKE PLACE OVERNIGHT. DESPITE THE WARMER TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR TUESDAY...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES SHOULD STILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE 45 PERCENT. NOTE...THE MIXING HEIGHT WILL FALL AT OR BELOW THE 1700 MIXING HEIGHT MINIMUM BETWEEN 11 PM CDT MONDAY AND 10 AM CDT TUESDAY. THIS MAY CAUSE PROBLEMS FOR SMOKE MANAGEMENT SHOULD THE PLUME DRIFT TO NEARBY LAKESIDE HOMES OR COMMUNITIES. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............73 72 70 68 66 65 64 63 62 61 60 60 RH..............57 63 65 69 72 72 75 79 79 81 83 85 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.28 29 29 30 30 30 30 29 28 26 25 25 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77. RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 31 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 44 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............59 61 64 66 69 71 73 74 75 76 75 74 RH..............86 83 77 73 66 59 55 53 51 50 51 51 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 8 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 15 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 24 25 25 28 29 31 35 38 41 44 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...SMITH REQUESTED BY...ERIC PFEILSCHIFTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110321.SMITH.02/PAH